Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf3f27cbe1aed3bac85e294c356209858b3d1c27bea88675db4bfd5e72abd7ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Team Jenz, Ilbirs eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Jenz | 0c | 10,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…036fbacked Team Jenz | 40c | 2,183$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 1,950$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.06 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Team Jenz | 19c | 1,037$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.29 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Jenz | 27c | 950$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 845.82$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.26 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…c012backed Ilbirs eSports | 66c | 753.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.71 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Team Jenz | 18c | 681.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x671c…7759backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 680.52$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Team Jenz | 36c | 568.57$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Team Jenz | 33c | 537.63$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.45 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a99…91a9backed Ilbirs eSports | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Jenz | 22c | 485$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Team Jenz | 40c | 453.11$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Jenz | 27c | 401$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 73c | 400$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Team Jenz | 10c | 353$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…3816backed Team Jenz | 31c | 343.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Jenz | 27c | 310$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 300.78$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Jenz | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 286.89$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Jenz | 26c | 278.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…c6dabacked Team Jenz | 40c | 270.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Ilbirs eSports | 80c | 250.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 236.9$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Jenz | 26c | 226.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Jenz | 16c | 217.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…1694backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 207.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Ilbirs eSports | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Team Jenz | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Team Jenz | 24c | 184.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…c3e0backed Team Jenz | 11c | 177.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Jenz | 13c | 130.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed Team Jenz | 23c | 127.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 113.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…a146backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Jenz | 31c | 107.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed Team Jenz | 36c | 106.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Team Jenz | 18c | 105$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Team Jenz | 38c | 100.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Team Jenz | 33c | 81.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Jenz | 26c | 80.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Jenz | 14c | 79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Team Jenz | 24c | 59.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked Team Jenz | 29c | 44.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Team Jenz | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1722…e28fbacked Team Jenz | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…ad4cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 23.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Team Jenz (+1.5)Ilbirs eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.