TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DYNASTYof DYNASTY, PuckChamp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,957 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9aff…b136backed PuckChamp41c2,722$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.3133144.7%148 W · 183 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked PuckChamp29c1,072$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.310044%44 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked PuckChamp14c883.95$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0237160.4%224 W · 147 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed PuckChamp24c769.97$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.49128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked PuckChamp14c746.21$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.892321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-61.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45da…72febacked DYNASTY76c608.08$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.943537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed PuckChamp45c587.2$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3114141.1%58 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed PuckChamp48c521.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5848…56a1backed DYNASTY55c361.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.153447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed DYNASTY74c354.01$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0470433.1%233 W · 471 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x282c…dd8ebacked DYNASTY60c301.43$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked DYNASTY57c300.46$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.261949.9%309 W · 310 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed DYNASTY53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4e2…35fcbacked DYNASTY53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…6122backed DYNASTY53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked DYNASTY54c282.77$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.470752.5%371 W · 336 L+48.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed DYNASTY61c252.63$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.388451.2%43 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1508…0648backed DYNASTY60c250.57$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadeb…5850backed PuckChamp46c217.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.151540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed PuckChamp45c213.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.95865.5%38 W · 20 L+7.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad26…6838backed DYNASTY54c212.84$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.83372.7%24 W · 9 L+8.2wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6457…ed50backed PuckChamp43c204.82$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed DYNASTY71c201.17$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.941,27049.6%630 W · 640 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked DYNASTY64c192.2$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.11,48248.9%724 W · 758 L+32.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b7…452fbacked DYNASTY53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a1…d1eebacked DYNASTY57c184.23$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.481421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-62.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ec6…db1ebacked DYNASTY54c182.58$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5811558.3%67 W · 48 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed PuckChamp45c181.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8217140.4%69 W · 102 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42cd…2359backed DYNASTY55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.826758.2%39 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked DYNASTY60c181.17$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.591,72341.3%711 W · 1,012 L-43.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed PuckChamp46c177.48$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6410350.5%52 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked PuckChamp17c156.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1224336.6%89 W · 154 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DYNASTY69c155.94$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.242,39547.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked DYNASTY53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9440842.4%173 W · 235 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed PuckChamp41c137.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5411947.1%56 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked DYNASTY76c134.13$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.19862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed DYNASTY75c133.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0371443.1%308 W · 406 L-3.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…665cbacked DYNASTY59c122.82$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.821747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed DYNASTY75c117.95$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2615567.7%105 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed DYNASTY80c117.59$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5215945.9%73 W · 86 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e4…bd22backed DYNASTY55c116$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.23470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b6f…aab3backed PuckChamp22c111.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543260%259 W · 173 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed PuckChamp24c107.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.551950.7%263 W · 256 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x072e…df3abacked DYNASTY80c106$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed DYNASTY53c105.96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.826550.6%134 W · 131 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0286…f61dbacked PuckChamp45c105.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.875549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked PuckChamp40c104.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0668847.4%326 W · 362 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed PuckChamp42c103.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.683938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0bd2…0985backed DYNASTY66c101.77$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.571225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed DYNASTY53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed PuckChamp47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd957…acd3backed PuckChamp25c96.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed DYNASTY53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed DYNASTY53c94.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3429650.3%149 W · 147 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed DYNASTY55c81.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1139441.1%162 W · 232 L-18.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp33c81.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0783345.1%376 W · 457 L-28.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed DYNASTY80c74$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.825237.7%95 W · 157 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3214…cfcbbacked DYNASTY58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.417162.6%107 W · 64 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked DYNASTY77c64.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.061,91447.6%911 W · 1,003 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3f5…33d0backed PuckChamp43c64.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e7…f2e5backed DYNASTY55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.642060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c3…f821backed PuckChamp25c60.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.231952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PuckChamp20c54.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9265847.3%311 W · 347 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…2ed6backed PuckChamp37c54.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ff…c7a8backed PuckChamp28c51.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked DYNASTY53c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5631950.8%162 W · 157 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed PuckChamp42c46.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.393444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e49…e7debacked DYNASTY75c40.71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed DYNASTY53c37.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe66f…0f3ebacked PuckChamp45c37.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa78c…2556backed DYNASTY54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2661…6c28backed DYNASTY54c33.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.618640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed DYNASTY53c33.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.825949.4%128 W · 131 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked PuckChamp45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.677456.5%437 W · 337 L+30.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a2…a9bfbacked DYNASTY55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.619855.6%110 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86ee…a02dbacked DYNASTY54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.781747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed DYNASTY54c26.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.346352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed DYNASTY53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.226944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked DYNASTY60c24.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7233452.7%176 W · 158 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed DYNASTY53c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.871741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed DYNASTY78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.355574.5%41 W · 14 L+8.3wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.