Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b45f12d5ab37f094a2d92e47490f15e6f789b4aa227db62f9bcf1d087d01a75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DYNASTYof DYNASTY, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7e3…1a64backed PuckChamp | 54c | 8,332$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked DYNASTY | 47c | 5,549$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.96 | 1,202 | 42.8%514 W · 688 L | +38.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed PuckChamp | 53c | 5,102$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.26 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PuckChamp | 53c | 3,983$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.71 | 809 | 55.9%452 W · 357 L | +21.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked DYNASTY | 47c | 3,601$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.32 | 970 | 42.2%409 W · 561 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked DYNASTY | 41c | 2,877$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.21 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked PuckChamp | 51c | 2,407$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.04 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked PuckChamp | 59c | 2,283$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.01 | 312 | 55.1%172 W · 140 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…9340backed PuckChamp | 64c | 2,093$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…9536backed PuckChamp | 49c | 1,687$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed DYNASTY | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 585 | 48.5%284 W · 301 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PuckChamp | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 498 | 54.8%273 W · 225 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed DYNASTY | 48c | 1,180$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked DYNASTY | 49c | 1,177$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.49 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed DYNASTY | 45c | 1,150$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed DYNASTY | 42c | 1,112$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.96 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked DYNASTY | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.78 | 216 | 60.6%131 W · 85 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed PuckChamp | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed DYNASTY | 51c | 944.7$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.75 | 444 | 38.7%172 W · 272 L | -43.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked DYNASTY | 45c | 922.69$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.72 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed PuckChamp | 57c | 869.26$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.48 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed DYNASTY | 47c | 853.9$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.99 | 183 | 49.7%91 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PuckChamp | 55c | 849.2$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.65 | 621 | 55.9%347 W · 274 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PuckChamp | 59c | 831.61$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.65 | 585 | 56.8%332 W · 253 L | +28.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked DYNASTY | 41c | 697.19$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.72 | 774 | 56.5%437 W · 337 L | +30.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked DYNASTY | 44c | 695.51$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked DYNASTY | 62c | 662.47$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.61 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed DYNASTY | 58c | 662.02$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.22 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed DYNASTY | 41c | 583.19$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.32 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked DYNASTY | 39c | 553$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.74 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed DYNASTY | 38c | 529.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.61 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed DYNASTY | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked DYNASTY | 48c | 518$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.36 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed PuckChamp | 48c | 514.89$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.6 | 141 | 41.1%58 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed DYNASTY | 45c | 502.5$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.81 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…86bbbacked PuckChamp | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked DYNASTY | 47c | 498.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.46 | 256 | 49.2%126 W · 130 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed PuckChamp | 54c | 496.75$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.55 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PuckChamp | 42c | 491.9$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 911 | 38.2%348 W · 563 L | -45.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b57…8cc0backed DYNASTY | 56c | 479.15$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed DYNASTY | 40c | 387.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked DYNASTY | 42c | 370$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 150 | 42.7%64 W · 86 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed DYNASTY | 46c | 361.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.21 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed DYNASTY | 55c | 360$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked DYNASTY | 53c | 342.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked DYNASTY | 42c | 322.97$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.21 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed PuckChamp | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed DYNASTY | 50c | 266.88$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 262 | 48.1%126 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DYNASTY | 53c | 255.26$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 2,395 | 47.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed DYNASTY | 61c | 247.65$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 392 | 46.2%181 W · 211 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed PuckChamp | 56c | 220$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed DYNASTY | 40c | 219.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 252 | 37.7%95 W · 157 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked DYNASTY | 42c | 218.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed DYNASTY | 43c | 215.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DYNASTY | 52c | 215.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.67 | 1,482 | 48.9%724 W · 758 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked DYNASTY | 51c | 215$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 1,723 | 41.3%711 W · 1,012 L | -43.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked DYNASTY | 48c | 213.31$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed DYNASTY | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d318backed DYNASTY | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed PuckChamp | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked PuckChamp | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed DYNASTY | 49c | 199$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed DYNASTY | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed PuckChamp | 55c | 181.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked DYNASTY | 52c | 156.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked DYNASTY | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 149 | 57%85 W · 64 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked PuckChamp | 54c | 154.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 319 | 50.8%162 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed PuckChamp | 45c | 154.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 394 | 41.1%162 W · 232 L | -18.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed PuckChamp | 59c | 149.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed DYNASTY | 53c | 123$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked DYNASTY | 63c | 119.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed DYNASTY | 55c | 116.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 925 | 53.6%496 W · 429 L | +51.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed PuckChamp | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…783cbacked DYNASTY | 45c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked PuckChamp | 59c | 106.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…67bcbacked DYNASTY | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked DYNASTY | 49c | 102.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked DYNASTY | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked DYNASTY | 43c | 93.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 688 | 47.4%326 W · 362 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp | 47c | 92.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 833 | 45.1%376 W · 457 L | -28.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp | 55c | 86.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 941 | 46.3%436 W · 505 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked DYNASTY | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed DYNASTY | 47c | 76.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 714 | 43.1%308 W · 406 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed PuckChamp | 51c | 74.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 181 | 37%67 W · 114 L | -14.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed DYNASTY | 43c | 70.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed DYNASTY | 59c | 68.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 559 | 62.1%347 W · 212 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked DYNASTY | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked DYNASTY | 47c | 60.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 287 | 45.6%131 W · 156 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed DYNASTY | 45c | 59.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…6e75backed PuckChamp | 57c | 59.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DYNASTY | 76c | 58.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 1,914 | 47.6%911 W · 1,003 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed PuckChamp | 51c | 56.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed PuckChamp | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 176 | 30.7%54 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c3…92c5backed DYNASTY | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked DYNASTY | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed DYNASTY | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 538 | 51.3%276 W · 262 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked DYNASTY | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked DYNASTY | 40c | 46.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…ef98backed PuckChamp | 59c | 44.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp | 36c | 42.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 906 | 38.4%348 W · 558 L | -40.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ADYNASTY won
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerDYNASTY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.