Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e14b99b476584c38993536aba5230e9b3c5bcb3ef53836501da3918ba2a466a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DYNASTYof DYNASTY, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7e3…1a64backed PuckChamp | 52c | 52,414$27,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,390.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed DYNASTY | 45c | 20,131$9,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,064.38 | 480 | 46.5%223 W · 257 L | +27.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked DYNASTY | 57c | 16,190$9,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,926.62 | 809 | 55.9%452 W · 357 L | +21.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed PuckChamp | 25c | 6,394$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.06 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed PuckChamp | 39c | 4,937$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.95 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked DYNASTY | 60c | 3,459$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.45 | 621 | 55.9%347 W · 274 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked DYNASTY | 54c | 3,449$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.81 | 970 | 42.2%409 W · 561 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed DYNASTY | 62c | 3,043$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.21 | 486 | 50.8%247 W · 239 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed DYNASTY | 61c | 2,782$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.81 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed DYNASTY | 71c | 2,270$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.53 | 515 | 48.9%252 W · 263 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed DYNASTY | 59c | 2,266$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.69 | 333 | 41.1%137 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed PuckChamp | 36c | 2,064$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.53 | 252 | 37.7%95 W · 157 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed PuckChamp | 2c | 2,018$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 343 | 2.9%10 W · 333 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked PuckChamp | 32c | 2,006$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.91 | 413 | 42.1%174 W · 239 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed DYNASTY | 72c | 1,911$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.59 | 486 | 57.4%279 W · 207 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…38eebacked PuckChamp | 29c | 1,821$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed PuckChamp | 7c | 1,767$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 151 | 25.8%39 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed DYNASTY | 64c | 1,715$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.29 | 444 | 38.7%172 W · 272 L | -43.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed PuckChamp | 34c | 1,556$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.7 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked DYNASTY | 46c | 1,264$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.68 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed PuckChamp | 34c | 1,230$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.3 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked DYNASTY | 49c | 1,113$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed DYNASTY | 45c | 1,040$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed DYNASTY | 50c | 1,026$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.82 | 273 | 51.6%141 W · 132 L | +14.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed DYNASTY | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 510 | 69.4%354 W · 156 L | +34.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked DYNASTY | 61c | 970.8$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.61 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…8c59backed PuckChamp | 37c | 945.08$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed DYNASTY | 49c | 933.48$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.59 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed DYNASTY | 45c | 864$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed DYNASTY | 45c | 853.82$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.6 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +54%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed PuckChamp | 40c | 828.07$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.63 | 183 | 49.7%91 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked DYNASTY | 47c | 720$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked DYNASTY | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked DYNASTY | 79c | 693.37$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.59 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed DYNASTY | 50c | 632$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.39 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…57cfbacked PuckChamp | 30c | 614.53$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed DYNASTY | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…86bbbacked PuckChamp | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PuckChamp | 39c | 481.36$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.73 | 688 | 47.4%326 W · 362 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed DYNASTY | 56c | 456.07$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked PuckChamp | 35c | 432.53$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked PuckChamp | 15c | 364.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 406 | 34.5%140 W · 266 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PuckChamp | 27c | 355$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 657 | 47.8%314 W · 343 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked DYNASTY | 45c | 322$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked DYNASTY | 50c | 319.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.54 | 287 | 45.6%131 W · 156 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed PuckChamp | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed DYNASTY | 50c | 296$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c76…fcc2backed DYNASTY | 50c | 291.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed DYNASTY | 45c | 284.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…966fbacked DYNASTY | 72c | 278.17$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b32…62bdbacked DYNASTY | 50c | 265.76$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed PuckChamp | 47c | 260.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 394 | 41.1%162 W · 232 L | -18.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed DYNASTY | 53c | 247$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 704 | 33.1%233 W · 471 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked DYNASTY | 60c | 229.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked DYNASTY | 45c | 211.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed PuckChamp | 49c | 209.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 432 | 60%259 W · 173 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed PuckChamp | 35c | 204.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…2f1abacked PuckChamp | 35c | 203$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…db05backed DYNASTY | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed DYNASTY | 53c | 198.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DYNASTY | 70c | 187.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 1,482 | 48.9%724 W · 758 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed DYNASTY | 48c | 178.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed DYNASTY | 67c | 175$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PuckChamp | 37c | 174.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 542 | 44.5%241 W · 301 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DYNASTY | 54c | 172.54$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 906 | 38.4%348 W · 558 L | -40.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed DYNASTY | 61c | 168.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked DYNASTY | 50c | 158$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 797 | 41.9%334 W · 463 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed PuckChamp | 20c | 156.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked DYNASTY | 50c | 138.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 198 | 35.9%71 W · 127 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed DYNASTY | 60c | 125.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked DYNASTY | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed DYNASTY | 45c | 116.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…cc7abacked PuckChamp | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked PuckChamp | 35c | 101.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…8efebacked PuckChamp | 31c | 95.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked DYNASTY | 79c | 84.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed DYNASTY | 78c | 84.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed DYNASTY | 45c | 80.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked DYNASTY | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked DYNASTY | 65c | 78.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked DYNASTY | 56c | 78.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…3dccbacked DYNASTY | 66c | 77.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DYNASTY | 56c | 72.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 2,395 | 47.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed PuckChamp | 34c | 69.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -14.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed DYNASTY | 45c | 68.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…0710backed DYNASTY | 65c | 68.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c3…92c5backed PuckChamp | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed DYNASTY | 69c | 60.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 559 | 62.1%347 W · 212 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed DYNASTY | 45c | 57.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1451backed DYNASTY | 59c | 56.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed PuckChamp | 33c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked DYNASTY | 59c | 55.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…5c2ebacked DYNASTY | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…2642backed PuckChamp | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed DYNASTY | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 538 | 51.3%276 W · 262 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…648ebacked DYNASTY | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PuckChamp | 22c | 49.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 714 | 43.1%308 W · 406 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed DYNASTY | 55c | 49.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 155 | 67.7%105 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked DYNASTY | 63c | 48.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked PuckChamp | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 319 | 50.8%162 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ADYNASTY won
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerDYNASTY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.