TailMyPicks
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Wallet 0xbd60…6122

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Summary

Where its weight is

Lol

11 of its 24 qualified picks

47

Below the line at -0.03 per pick — 50 means no edge at all.

Its best Category

Dota2

its best of 6 Categories scored

52

Above the line at +0.02 per pick.

3 below 50 · 3 at or above · 6 Categories scored

Qualified picks
24
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category6 Categories

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 28, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$207.14
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-Inbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$385.21
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$42.31
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.77
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 28, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.9
Counter-Strike: OG vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$81.95
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Isurus (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: ODK (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)backed Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.2
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked DYNASTY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$327.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.