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Lol · resolved market

LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 NORDof BIG, G2 NORD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4fd…748bbacked BIG33c18,539$6,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,046.27139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked G2 NORD67c12,700$8,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,132.912,02158.1%1,174 W · 847 L+86.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed G2 NORD67c9,185$6,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.5816860.7%102 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed BIG27c5,322$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.3116332.5%53 W · 110 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked BIG21c4,162$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.7418344.3%81 W · 102 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed BIG37c4,096$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-35%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked G2 NORD64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44031043.5%135 W · 175 L-1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c29…167ebacked BIG32c3,410$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.83857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked G2 NORD69c3,073$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.351,00656.7%570 W · 436 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked BIG20c2,636$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.1851147%240 W · 271 L+1.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e24…4fabbacked BIG33c2,620$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.6235758%207 W · 150 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed BIG37c2,292$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.615541.3%64 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc83…08f4backed BIG21c1,947$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.782853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed G2 NORD68c1,825$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.061,45357.3%833 W · 620 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed G2 NORD68c1,618$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.6525058.4%146 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c0…5135backed BIG40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked G2 NORD76c1,246$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.591,06654.8%584 W · 482 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee7…1ad7backed G2 NORD69c1,197$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.213964%89 W · 50 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed G2 NORD67c1,197$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.731,23258.1%716 W · 516 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb26f…9536backed G2 NORD66c1,014$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.11952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked BIG39c896.06$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.9289244.1%393 W · 499 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc904…2025backed G2 NORD67c876.79$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.635461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked BIG31c823.12$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1315442.2%65 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x456d…adf4backed BIG13c796.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.82520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked BIG39c759$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0111440.4%46 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked G2 NORD62c747.49$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.2119560.5%118 W · 77 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed BIG31c720.75$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.21,10746.3%513 W · 594 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed BIG29c667.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9932320.7%67 W · 256 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked BIG23c648.7$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461,46143.3%632 W · 829 L+106.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed G2 NORD67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.014353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed BIG17c592.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.525350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed BIG37c542.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010534.3%36 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b6a…9fb9backed G2 NORD67c525$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.252035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BIG36c500$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.752,54547.3%1,203 W · 1,342 L-35.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed G2 NORD66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17017934.1%61 W · 118 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed BIG19c499.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941,82039.2%714 W · 1,106 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked G2 NORD61c499.17$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7757944.6%258 W · 321 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G2 NORD75c491.37$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.181,46038.4%560 W · 900 L-44.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed G2 NORD80c479.47$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8769441.4%287 W · 407 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed BIG38c456.89$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0722160.6%134 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked G2 NORD67c448.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9942843.2%185 W · 243 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed G2 NORD67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.761,01847.7%486 W · 532 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed BIG23c429.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8554243.2%234 W · 308 L+33.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed BIG24c424.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037052.4%194 W · 176 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…35fcbacked G2 NORD73c409.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.07850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed BIG40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,42143.7%621 W · 800 L-4.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0a…5cc0backed BIG37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1484938.8%19 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb46…ed08backed BIG14c399.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9933036.4%120 W · 210 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x242c…ddd2backed BIG16c352.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.75438.9%21 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed BIG32c352.26$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9654038.5%208 W · 332 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed BIG37c350.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6916663.9%106 W · 60 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed BIG17c347.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.169653.1%51 W · 45 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed BIG43c346.92$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1725035.2%88 W · 162 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed G2 NORD65c341$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.417532%56 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x270e…53cabacked G2 NORD59c336.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.522458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed G2 NORD76c318.78$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.361,87739.9%749 W · 1,128 L-66.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd705…caf8backed BIG19c312.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1218660.2%112 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfad…f39dbacked BIG33c300.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.314650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked BIG6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.870615%106 W · 600 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked G2 NORD67c299.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.47964.6%51 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked BIG29c277.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.371,00745.4%457 W · 550 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked G2 NORD64c275$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0580642.6%343 W · 463 L-25.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed G2 NORD68c267.17$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3753046%244 W · 286 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed G2 NORD56c253.59$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.581,34138.4%515 W · 826 L-70.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed G2 NORD65c250.41$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5771557.2%409 W · 306 L+37.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed BIG21c239.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5064440.2%259 W · 385 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BIG18c224.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.421,92537.1%715 W · 1,210 L-115.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked G2 NORD67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.889366.7%62 W · 31 L+13.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1312…39cebacked G2 NORD69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3913253%70 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked BIG37c211.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2734840.2%140 W · 208 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6457…ed50backed G2 NORD74c203.51$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed G2 NORD77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4628266%186 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a80…45a9backed BIG18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked G2 NORD62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7696548.8%471 W · 494 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked BIG33c199.43$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.521,11647.8%534 W · 582 L+2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b39…8b50backed BIG22c173.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9347251.7%244 W · 228 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed G2 NORD78c166.42$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4240355.1%222 W · 181 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BIG21c162.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.741,95442.4%829 W · 1,125 L-43.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed BIG37c157.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5830639.9%122 W · 184 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked BIG35c154.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6390949.8%453 W · 456 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed G2 NORD67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.256048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked G2 NORD78c146.97$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.423,03244.4%1,347 W · 1,685 L-100.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed G2 NORD63c146.83$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0921736.9%80 W · 137 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4613…33b4backed BIG40c145.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.21844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c09…a8d1backed BIG22c138.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306355.6%35 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…7992backed G2 NORD57c134$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.622560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed G2 NORD68c132.13$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2828648.3%138 W · 148 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed BIG32c120.88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6827441.6%114 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c57…4d10backed G2 NORD67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.42536%9 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa56e…1c76backed G2 NORD70c115.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.019763.9%62 W · 35 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eec…e587backed G2 NORD66c111.95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.065058%29 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked G2 NORD68c110.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2914962.4%93 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed G2 NORD68c110.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2438051.6%196 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6392…52ddbacked BIG26c109.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.443348.5%210 W · 223 L+16.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b47…1540backed G2 NORD67c101.67$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5522359.6%133 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fb7…0bd3backed BIG17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1719239.6%76 W · 116 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x521e…c074backed G2 NORD71c96.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.161060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf8…1dcebacked BIG21c91.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1914233.1%47 W · 95 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x897f…13ffbacked G2 NORD80c90.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.031080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed G2 NORD77c90$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.768858.1%400 W · 288 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.