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Lol · resolved market

LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof BIG, G2 NORD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,875 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf23c…9f81backed BIG49c15,371$7,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,850.8916860.7%102 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c29…167ebacked BIG49c15,218$7,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,794.613857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BIG54c12,453$6,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,767.792,02158.1%1,174 W · 847 L+86.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed G2 NORD52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2007143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked BIG48c9,569$4,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,022.6155455.2%306 W · 248 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb26f…9536backed G2 NORD50c6,118$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.41952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked G2 NORD49c4,900$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.1389244.1%393 W · 499 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked G2 NORD49c4,370$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.3416454.3%89 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked BIG49c4,271$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.6731043.5%135 W · 175 L-1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked G2 NORD51c3,703$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.4851147%240 W · 271 L+1.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed G2 NORD61c3,426$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.88149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc904…2025backed G2 NORD54c3,243$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.855461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed G2 NORD49c3,181$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.31,17539.1%460 W · 715 L-44.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed G2 NORD57c3,001$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7004353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked BIG55c2,980$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.391,00656.7%570 W · 436 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed BIG68c2,949$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.3616258%94 W · 68 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked G2 NORD50c2,786$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.4542843.2%185 W · 243 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked G2 NORD48c2,504$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011060%66 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked G2 NORD54c2,173$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.871959.8%430 W · 289 L+79.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed BIG51c2,157$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.8625058.4%146 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked G2 NORD50c2,156$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.7411440.4%46 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BIG56c2,045$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.791,60153.7%859 W · 742 L+55.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac23…a875backed BIG48c1,940$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.023652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked BIG48c1,856$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.3718344.3%81 W · 102 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed G2 NORD50c1,829$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91814546.9%68 W · 77 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2c0…5135backed BIG48c1,826$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.023545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd60…6122backed G2 NORD58c1,803$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed BIG57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.392259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed BIG57c1,715$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.7445747.9%219 W · 238 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked G2 NORD34c1,702$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.8789043%383 W · 507 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafcb…df99backed G2 NORD67c1,668$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed BIG62c1,610$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.937052.4%194 W · 176 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked BIG30c1,574$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.5414431.9%46 W · 98 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0271…4099backed G2 NORD57c1,570$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed G2 NORD47c1,543$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.725354.2%137 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed BIG52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.461,23258.1%716 W · 516 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked G2 NORD47c1,521$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.8710123.8%24 W · 77 L-10.7wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed G2 NORD49c1,519$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.241,59355.2%880 W · 713 L+82.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed G2 NORD60c1,505$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001,01847.7%486 W · 532 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BIG43c1,501$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.681,45357.3%833 W · 620 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed G2 NORD75c1,338$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.7930348.2%146 W · 157 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed G2 NORD51c1,250$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.531046.8%145 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked G2 NORD46c1,199$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55431153.4%166 W · 145 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked G2 NORD60c1,190$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.135350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed BIG51c1,117$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.3671557.2%409 W · 306 L+37.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked G2 NORD24c1,100$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9970615%106 W · 600 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6455…2604backed G2 NORD58c1,099$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.4818760.4%113 W · 74 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G2 NORD54c1,040$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.821,46038.4%560 W · 900 L-44.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed G2 NORD53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301,34138.4%515 W · 826 L-70.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe410…d4d1backed G2 NORD52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52016852.4%88 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked BIG47c998$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.8184660.8%514 W · 332 L+44.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed G2 NORD47c966$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.4640140.1%161 W · 240 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d91…16abbacked G2 NORD53c900$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.2214156.7%80 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x456d…adf4backed G2 NORD63c900$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed BIG47c895$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.422645.1%102 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee7…1ad7backed BIG68c841.75$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6613964%89 W · 50 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed BIG58c841.27$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.635350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed BIG45c808.66$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.9854038.5%208 W · 332 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed G2 NORD50c801.13$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39824950.2%125 W · 124 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed G2 NORD56c797.98$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.493250%16 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked G2 NORD46c793.35$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5518452.7%97 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed BIG53c774.17$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.8617532%56 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed G2 NORD49c762.3$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5336758.9%216 W · 151 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed G2 NORD48c755.65$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.953046%244 W · 286 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 NORD34c688.66$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.262,72735.9%980 W · 1,747 L-153.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked G2 NORD55c677.94$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.453,03244.4%1,347 W · 1,685 L-100.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed BIG49c652.98$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7417934.1%61 W · 118 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e2…35fcbacked G2 NORD48c626.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked BIG32c590$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.217839.3%70 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed G2 NORD22c554$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.741,93935.8%695 W · 1,244 L-99.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed BIG49c544.99$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.321,82039.2%714 W · 1,106 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed BIG63c529.6$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0398552.8%520 W · 465 L+39.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked G2 NORD58c514.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009366.7%62 W · 31 L+13.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb3bc…46f8backed G2 NORD51c499.99$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0128341%116 W · 167 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed G2 NORD50c497.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5228348.4%137 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…e18ebacked G2 NORD61c492.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked BIG33c472.44$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.0837159.3%220 W · 151 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed G2 NORD57c472.28$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.26048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 NORD55c471.48$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.811,10746.3%513 W · 594 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…3ca3backed BIG43c463.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.1232050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed BIG48c444.44$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1141527.5%114 W · 301 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…4d10backed G2 NORD56c426.67$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402536%9 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed G2 NORD54c419.62$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.235337.4%132 W · 221 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked G2 NORD52c413.19$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.861,53554.9%843 W · 692 L+40.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked G2 NORD53c412.67$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4328148.4%136 W · 145 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked G2 NORD49c400.17$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.454557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed G2 NORD61c399.98$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.995078%39 W · 11 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed BIG48c374.65$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0228648.3%138 W · 148 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…caf8backed BIG28c351.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2318660.2%112 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked BIG46c340.75$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3119560.5%118 W · 77 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BIG41c340.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.672,57439.7%1,021 W · 1,553 L-81.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed G2 NORD47c339.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16019252.6%101 W · 91 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 NORD38c335.5$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.672,05830.6%629 W · 1,429 L-175.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed G2 NORD50c325$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.622444.6%100 W · 124 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked BIG41c320.46$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.4657944.6%258 W · 321 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9773…94ecbacked G2 NORD56c319.26$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.524372.1%31 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked G2 NORD50c317.64$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8229645.6%135 W · 161 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked BIG51c303.12$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1746245.9%212 W · 250 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed BIG50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked BIG72c300$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.511640.5%47 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.