TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof BIG, G2 NORD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4fd…748bbacked BIG47c30,544$14,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,128.777139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed G2 NORD51c21,111$10,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,755.51,63840.2%659 W · 979 L+49.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed G2 NORD50c15,777$7,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,943.9941369.7%288 W · 125 L+29.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c29…167ebacked BIG51c14,965$7,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,378.313857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed G2 NORD47c12,083$5,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,627.9672041.4%298 W · 422 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BIG52c12,012$6,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,734.522,02158.1%1,174 W · 847 L+86.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78cb…f93ebacked G2 NORD0c8,206$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.931353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ac3…6ec2backed BIG57c6,935$3,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,001.2313957.6%80 W · 59 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed G2 NORD46c4,064$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.2316860.7%102 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked BIG56c3,532$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.4155455.2%306 W · 248 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe410…d4d1backed G2 NORD55c3,233$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.1216852.4%88 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked G2 NORD51c3,101$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58259948.2%289 W · 310 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked BIG53c2,888$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.941,00656.7%570 W · 436 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d66…ff1dbacked G2 NORD35c2,552$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.611618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-59.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked BIG72c2,412$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.4271959.8%430 W · 289 L+79.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked G2 NORD50c2,104$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05289244.1%393 W · 499 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c0…5135backed G2 NORD50c2,052$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.273545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BIG53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.981,45357.3%833 W · 620 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked G2 NORD51c1,915$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.5618344.3%81 W · 102 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed BIG59c1,819$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.831,59355.2%880 W · 713 L+82.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed G2 NORD52c1,800$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93621736.9%80 W · 137 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed G2 NORD49c1,746$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.187945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed BIG69c1,671$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.5240140.1%161 W · 240 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked G2 NORD43c1,611$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9819560.5%118 W · 77 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed G2 NORD56c1,600$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8901,34138.4%515 W · 826 L-70.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb26f…9536backed BIG49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.41952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed G2 NORD55c1,018$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56014546.9%68 W · 77 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed G2 NORD20c1,011$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019934.7%69 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed BIG50c961.42$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.7171557.2%409 W · 306 L+37.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed G2 NORD48c886$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2848638.5%187 W · 299 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed BIG50c849.99$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.554038.5%208 W · 332 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed G2 NORD49c836$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.5623547.7%112 W · 123 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc83…08f4backed G2 NORD24c821.13$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.122853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked BIG77c695.29$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4951147%240 W · 271 L+1.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed G2 NORD37c649.98$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.51,82039.2%714 W · 1,106 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed G2 NORD48c631.2$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1386852.4%455 W · 413 L+36.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed G2 NORD8c600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4817934.1%61 W · 118 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed BIG55c578.36$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3398552.8%520 W · 465 L+39.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed G2 NORD47c573.4$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.522160.6%134 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc904…2025backed BIG55c556.53$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.645461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a26…1589backed BIG53c535.74$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7420746.9%97 W · 110 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed BIG49c522.3$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.341,17539.1%460 W · 715 L-44.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed G2 NORD55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9915952.8%84 W · 75 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed G2 NORD56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9918543.8%81 W · 104 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BIG55c499.97$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.722,54547.3%1,203 W · 1,342 L-35.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked G2 NORD52c499.26$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.627944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed G2 NORD50c405.32$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked BIG59c402.32$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.631,00745.4%457 W · 550 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e75…0dd7backed G2 NORD50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033451.5%172 W · 162 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked G2 NORD52c375$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19557944.6%258 W · 321 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed G2 NORD54c342.74$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8215541.3%64 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed BIG59c332.55$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0828566%188 W · 97 L+26.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed G2 NORD54c329$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2956644.5%252 W · 314 L-28.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x242c…ddd2backed G2 NORD33c301.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005438.9%21 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53da…7603backed G2 NORD38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11416462.2%102 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa56e…1c76backed G2 NORD34c298.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009763.9%62 W · 35 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed BIG54c280.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3779246.8%371 W · 421 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed G2 NORD52c274.96$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2741055.6%228 W · 182 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked BIG75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677964.6%51 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1312…39cebacked G2 NORD47c264.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12513253%70 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed BIG61c264$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9647441.8%198 W · 276 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BIG59c251.03$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.133,03244.4%1,347 W · 1,685 L-100.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BIG54c223.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.411,95442.4%829 W · 1,125 L-43.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed G2 NORD57c205$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.55364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed G2 NORD55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11028645.5%130 W · 156 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G2 NORD44c199.52$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.612,57439.7%1,021 W · 1,553 L-81.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac6…db45backed G2 NORD52c192.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-54.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BIG62c191.96$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.241,92537.1%715 W · 1,210 L-115.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14b7…aab1backed G2 NORD52c190.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.219545.6%89 W · 106 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed BIG54c173.7$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.91,24349.7%618 W · 625 L+16.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b7…452fbacked BIG58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed G2 NORD42c169.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.428648.3%138 W · 148 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed G2 NORD48c145.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0714057.1%80 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec3…babcbacked G2 NORD45c145.77$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked G2 NORD52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514962.4%93 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed BIG54c138.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7138051.6%196 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed BIG73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.994353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x998f…9eb5backed G2 NORD8c135.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.826616.7%11 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked G2 NORD8c135.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7570615%106 W · 600 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BIG66c135$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.441,98748.4%961 W · 1,026 L+26.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb844…dee6backed BIG79c130.06$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.41580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BIG76c120.72$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.841,46038.4%560 W · 900 L-44.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G2 NORD26c109$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.433,18233.9%1,079 W · 2,103 L-151.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed G2 NORD49c108.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7667159.8%401 W · 270 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc148…aabfbacked G2 NORD47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked G2 NORD47c104.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.891241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6457…ed50backed BIG59c103.83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.571464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked G2 NORD20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,47013.1%192 W · 1,278 L-114.8wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbf6…0bbbbacked G2 NORD56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed BIG56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2129446.9%138 W · 156 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked G2 NORD31c92.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.231,10339.3%434 W · 669 L-81.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b39…8b50backed BIG55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9147251.7%244 W · 228 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed BIG59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.755952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked BIG59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7516749.7%83 W · 84 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed BIG59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.754757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x733c…521bbacked BIG58c84.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3610857.4%62 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked G2 NORD48c80.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3946245.9%212 W · 250 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed G2 NORD58c77.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7118454.3%100 W · 84 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed G2 NORD54c74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2217532%56 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2311…99ecbacked G2 NORD51c73.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.741553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.