Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f5b36601856e4b0e5eec78bf6e3c5d494902b2bad28ef5944fa764bfd3c33e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof G2 NORD, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd786…59b8backed G2 NORD | 16c | 4,077$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.91 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked BIG | 59c | 1,939$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.14 | 991 | 49.1%487 W · 504 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked G2 NORD | 16c | 1,784$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.91 | 441 | 37.2%164 W · 277 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed G2 NORD | 41c | 1,738$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.32 | 2,202 | 53.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed G2 NORD | 25c | 1,453$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.03 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed G2 NORD | 44c | 1,225$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.91 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed BIG | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 650 | 50.5%328 W · 322 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BIG | 63c | 985$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed BIG | 74c | 701$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked G2 NORD | 21c | 505.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…6731backed BIG | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked G2 NORD | 40c | 249.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 228 | 57%130 W · 98 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed G2 NORD | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 48.8%117 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…b040backed BIG | 62c | 162.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed G2 NORD | 18c | 154.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BIG | 61c | 136$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked G2 NORD | 37c | 89.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed G2 NORD | 38c | 74.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1,398 | 49.4%691 W · 707 L | -20.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed BIG | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked G2 NORD | 41c | 49.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked BIG | 79c | 41.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 259 | 67.6%175 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsG2 NORD won
- LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerBIG won
- LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 2 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 3 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 4 WinnerBIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.