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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,277,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,397,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,277,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed 9z49c400,000$195,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195,670.47455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed MOUZ51c100,000$50,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,013.011233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed MOUZ57c79,053$44,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,074.0313155%72 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked MOUZ61c40,500$24,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,794.993250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed MOUZ51c39,670$20,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,438.3328056.1%157 W · 123 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e13…a801backed MOUZ51c34,170$17,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,756.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a53…077bbacked 9z35c33,278$11,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,545450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed MOUZ67c29,265$19,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,657.538744.8%39 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed MOUZ66c24,889$16,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,452.0337954.9%208 W · 171 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed 9z13c22,518$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,955.14219%8 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed 9z34c21,022$7,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,232.3919642.3%83 W · 113 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed 9z34c20,500$6,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9703560%21 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ60c20,230$12,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,169.7189748.6%436 W · 461 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 9z51c17,328$8,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,762.0782842.9%355 W · 473 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked 9z4c17,300$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.9823240.5%94 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ60c15,277$9,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,159.711,28247.3%607 W · 675 L+22.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked 9z38c15,000$5,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,734.025137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ53c14,413$7,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,748.9491147.5%433 W · 478 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ52c14,008$7,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,725.541,07849.5%534 W · 544 L+42.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ67c14,000$9,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,669.9846850.2%235 W · 233 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ53c13,728$7,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,383.831,63645.9%751 W · 885 L+35.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…12babacked MOUZ69c12,120$8,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.173531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed MOUZ75c11,572$8,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.1714357.3%82 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed 9z54c11,260$6,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,044.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick56cpaid-76.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed MOUZ68c10,479$7,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,377.994551.1%23 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x047f…bf3abacked 9z1c10,000$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.852030%6 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-54.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb132…6b5ebacked MOUZ68c9,954$6,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,192.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked 9z32c8,837$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.837236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98d5…2ec4backed MOUZ66c8,435$5,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.232544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked MOUZ47c7,777$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,088.4523330.9%72 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked MOUZ68c7,227$4,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.6818867.6%127 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed 9z33c6,930$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.626148.7%127 W · 134 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed MOUZ57c6,549$3,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.441,40666.4%933 W · 473 L+77.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed MOUZ58c6,143$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.445444.4%24 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe4…93afbacked 9z33c6,061$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed MOUZ53c5,759$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.2710957.8%63 W · 46 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed 9z4c5,607$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.426541.5%27 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed 9z33c5,588$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.095337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked MOUZ56c5,554$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.2617743.5%77 W · 100 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed 9z34c5,383$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.3935031.1%109 W · 241 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked MOUZ79c5,210$4,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.189147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed MOUZ51c5,191$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.46654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed MOUZ65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.9812740.2%51 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed 9z32c4,632$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.023441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c15…51afbacked MOUZ65c4,632$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-61.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed MOUZ71c4,598$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.2681045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked MOUZ74c4,531$3,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.285347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked 9z33c4,253$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.6593645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a79…eedabacked 9z34c4,100$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3941931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked 9z2c4,001$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7071723.7%170 W · 547 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed MOUZ63c3,794$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.792445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked 9z34c3,768$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.1229647%139 W · 157 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 9z38c3,699$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.1160739.9%242 W · 365 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed MOUZ57c3,668$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.716544.6%29 W · 36 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67ba…246cbacked MOUZ55c3,642$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.572245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked 9z50c3,500$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.771,05452.6%554 W · 500 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed 9z34c3,006$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01217838.2%68 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked 9z34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0206848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed MOUZ65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05072846.3%337 W · 391 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked MOUZ57c2,994$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.1713950.4%70 W · 69 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z32c2,789$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.452,13742%897 W · 1,240 L-48.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ56c2,788$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.1642454.7%232 W · 192 L+28.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 9z32c2,750$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8801,44433.4%482 W · 962 L+39.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ66c2,634$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.4250754%274 W · 233 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked MOUZ66c2,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ68c2,408$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.381,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed MOUZ61c2,381$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.8643855%241 W · 197 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked MOUZ64c2,343$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.688357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed MOUZ54c2,338$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.831662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked MOUZ68c2,319$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.9976553.3%408 W · 357 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 9z31c2,263$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7042,44545.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L-66.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b0…180dbacked 9z24c2,190$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.222025%5 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb15…5485backed 9z43c2,117$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+42.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed 9z33c2,078$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.17159.2%42 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed 9z34c2,071$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.147857.7%45 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6876…8dc9backed MOUZ68c2,059$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.82650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed MOUZ51c2,048$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.3240768.1%277 W · 130 L+28.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed 9z44c2,030$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.8148046.3%222 W · 258 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked 9z1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022721.6%49 W · 178 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed MOUZ57c2,000$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.919643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed 9z37c1,940$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.550564.8%327 W · 178 L+59.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked MOUZ51c1,922$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.5714651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f3…5402backed 9z35c1,903$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6664250%21 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed 9z34c1,870$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.839145.3%177 W · 214 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed 9z32c1,794$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.1911327.4%31 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 9z35c1,785$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.143,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed MOUZ65c1,763$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.3526975.5%203 W · 66 L+25.9wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+12.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ57c1,752$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.2625840.3%104 W · 154 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked MOUZ64c1,738$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.553449.6%265 W · 269 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed 9z33c1,685$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.924253.3%129 W · 113 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked MOUZ63c1,594$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.6319348.7%94 W · 99 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed MOUZ57c1,587$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.4326447.3%125 W · 139 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed MOUZ57c1,576$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.0656832.4%184 W · 384 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed MOUZ51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.631947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb2…4d01backed MOUZ66c1,567$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed MOUZ66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51012239.3%48 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…2ad3backed MOUZ65c1,500$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.992070%14 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ68c1,451$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.292,74947.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L-37.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed MOUZ74c1,443$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1941655.3%230 W · 186 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed 9z34c1,435$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4889745.4%44 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.