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CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$376,620
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$387,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,620 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed MOUZ39c302,429$117,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184,659.8613450.7%68 W · 66 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed 9z60c122,004$73,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,202.228056.1%157 W · 123 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed 9z62c56,306$34,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,909.5619954.3%108 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed 9z62c44,663$27,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,691.063735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed 9z62c24,048$14,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,793.5137954.9%208 W · 171 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x620b…2e9fbacked 9z61c17,000$10,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,369.951457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked 9z44c16,296$7,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,163.3417743.5%77 W · 100 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ42c11,680$4,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,747.145,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…b04cbacked 9z61c10,800$6,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,588825%2 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-64.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ69c10,012$6,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,104.541,70447%801 W · 903 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 9z58c6,000$3,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,475.2469348.2%334 W · 359 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 9z53c5,759$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.861,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ41c5,669$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,365.92,69752.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L+30.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed 9z62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10058435.8%209 W · 375 L+1.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed 9z61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,05027852.9%147 W · 131 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked 9z61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44023240.5%94 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed 9z57c3,513$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.495337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed MOUZ55c3,285$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.985756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc16…1fadbacked 9z62c2,993$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.59520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed MOUZ39c2,700$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.9619754.8%108 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked 9z31c2,389$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.31,68532.7%551 W · 1,134 L-48.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed 9z63c2,200$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38170453.1%374 W · 330 L-26.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed 9z62c2,109$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.5825748.6%125 W · 132 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed 9z59c2,103$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2407156.3%40 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed 9z62c1,956$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.427544%33 W · 42 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ42c1,833$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.082,07154%1,119 W · 952 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed 9z58c1,549$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.585648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf84d…8830backed MOUZ38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9307262.5%45 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed MOUZ37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94517838.2%68 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked MOUZ42c1,429$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.5711471.1%81 W · 33 L+18.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+27.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed 9z32c1,375$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44045743.5%199 W · 258 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked 9z62c1,371$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85025357.3%145 W · 108 L-1.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed MOUZ38c1,244$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.1355843.2%241 W · 317 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 9z59c1,234$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.061,15249.4%569 W · 583 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed 9z57c1,216$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.2311149.5%55 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked MOUZ42c1,194$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.967441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed MOUZ65c1,140$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.1481045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 9z61c1,129$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.291,75647.3%830 W · 926 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked MOUZ44c1,048$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.494944.9%22 W · 27 L-8.2wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed 9z58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58018845.2%85 W · 103 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed MOUZ41c973.6$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.4263156.4%356 W · 275 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed 9z16c921.23$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.334468.2%30 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed 9z59c679$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6115153%80 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed 9z62c631.5$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.538759.8%52 W · 35 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x657a…d1f4backed 9z56c595$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.21926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-51.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed MOUZ43c563.06$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.0613567.4%91 W · 44 L+19.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5da5…e620backed 9z73c549.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed MOUZ39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8211237.5%42 W · 70 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked MOUZ39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8232453.7%174 W · 150 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked 9z58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29041649.3%205 W · 211 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed 9z62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3108048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed 9z58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29062441.7%260 W · 364 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe956…c4e0backed MOUZ40c499.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.981145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed 9z62c484$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.089859.2%58 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…a7e4backed MOUZ55c444.59$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.742669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed 9z59c440.68$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26020960.8%127 W · 82 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked MOUZ40c420$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25250445.8%231 W · 273 L-2.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked MOUZ39c404$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.4431439.5%124 W · 190 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed 9z61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24431458.6%184 W · 130 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed 9z55c399.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22041655.3%230 W · 186 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked 9z57c350$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.520453.9%110 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed 9z58c340.82$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8536744.4%163 W · 204 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked 9z62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked 9z62c316$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9240%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 9z54c300$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612,50044.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L-67.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed MOUZ42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741,05149%515 W · 536 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8286…6aa5backed 9z62c290.32$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed 9z50c277.1$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4640346.7%188 W · 215 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked 9z60c251.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9251650.4%260 W · 256 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed 9z59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.53650%18 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed 9z62c249.69$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8132840.9%134 W · 194 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed 9z61c239.34$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14625256%141 W · 111 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c5…cb36backed 9z62c236.95$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b90…1c62backed 9z62c233.42$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.721650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed 9z49c222.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b2…1f1cbacked 9z51c219.41$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.39650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked 9z63c210.64$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1326347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d45…1c86backed 9z62c201.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255949.2%29 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed MOUZ39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12210158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked 9z46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928446.4%39 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed MOUZ40c199.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12016749.7%83 W · 84 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5076…711abacked MOUZ65c191.49$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.024854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked 9z60c187$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.278547.3%371 W · 414 L-26.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked 9z60c183.8$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2847547.6%226 W · 249 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b6…d6d4backed MOUZ43c173.19$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.722871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdeb2…f33bbacked MOUZ43c173.19$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.722684.6%22 W · 4 L+6.1wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+38.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 9z61c162.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.982,44545.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L-66.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed 9z62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007938%30 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed 9z62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked 9z62c158.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2367362.3%419 W · 254 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45ea…8815backed MOUZ63c155.75$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.842770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed 9z60c155$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9313939.6%55 W · 84 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…65fabacked MOUZ64c149.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked 9z60c145.07$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.218661.3%114 W · 72 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked MOUZ39c128.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.213950.4%70 W · 69 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ38c118.53$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4936242.8%155 W · 207 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f96…9ecebacked 9z62c114.34$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.892948.3%14 W · 15 L-6.6wins-0.23per pick71cpaid-31.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked 9z39c114$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6531247.8%149 W · 163 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1146…a468backed 9z62c112.9$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked MOUZ39c112$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.326851.5%35 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.