CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22ebea36e81219c51a11568bf493f0c2c6d15c1b84a1bb435c5772f7f743dd10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 9z | 59c | 2,790$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.63 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 41c | 2,527$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.2 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked MOUZ | 41c | 1,449$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.65 | 114 | 71.1%81 W · 33 L | +18.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 9z | 59c | 989.79$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.98 | 487 | 46.6%227 W · 260 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked 9z | 63c | 476.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ | 41c | 241.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 9z | 62c | 158$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 216 | 47.2%102 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed MOUZ | 41c | 130.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed 9z | 59c | 115.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 624 | 41.7%260 W · 364 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed 9z | 60c | 115.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 564 | 48.2%272 W · 292 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed 9z | 59c | 98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked 9z | 59c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 174 | 37.4%65 W · 109 L | -13.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 9z | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked MOUZ | 40c | 56.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed 9z | 60c | 51.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed 9z | 58c | 47.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed MOUZ | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 516 | 47.9%247 W · 269 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked 9z | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed 9z | 60c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2311…99ecbacked 9z | 60c | 23.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…98bbbacked 9z | 63c | 16.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.