CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddaf33d9039c776de51800481703cac1ceafaa2b5bb890cb03f1296947a5c430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Over | 50c | 9,684$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.34 | 251 | 39.4%99 W · 152 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 5,871$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.24 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 50c | 4,998$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.89 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 60c | 3,660$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.9 | 177 | 43.5%77 W · 100 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…5f71backed Over | 40c | 3,503$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 45c | 3,252$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.02 | 1,685 | 32.7%551 W · 1,134 L | -48.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 48c | 2,399$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.52 | 584 | 35.8%209 W · 375 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 1,272$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.47 | 1,756 | 47.3%830 W · 926 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 54c | 806.35$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.92 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…b8f1backed Over | 46c | 424.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Over | 48c | 280.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 55c | 234.09$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Over | 45c | 216.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7111…7c21backed Under | 64c | 205.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 52c | 199.93$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 36c | 192.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 54c | 186.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…33b4backed Under | 52c | 182$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 66c | 169.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…6fa9backed Over | 46c | 122.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Over | 27c | 102.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 49c | 95.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 1,704 | 47%801 W · 903 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…23bdbacked Over | 46c | 93.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…e850backed Over | 48c | 80.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Under | 52c | 75.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 50c | 69.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Under | 54c | 68.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…8e2ebacked Under | 68c | 65.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b6…f439backed Under | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc6…b1f2backed Under | 52c | 56.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 40c | 56.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 728 | 60.2%438 W · 290 L | +72.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 48.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…80a3backed Under | 64c | 45.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 51c | 44.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 487 | 46.6%227 W · 260 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 63c | 44.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 64.6%117 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 49c | 38.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 401 | 38.4%154 W · 247 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 42c | 37.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 781 | 48.3%377 W · 404 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 47c | 33.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 35c | 32.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 323 | 40.6%131 W · 192 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 36c | 30.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…1584backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked Over | 36c | 29.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 28.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…573ebacked Over | 48c | 28.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dab…9121backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 54c | 23.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.