TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$427,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$550,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed MOUZ57c20,000$11,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,699.978744.8%39 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed 9z43c19,254$8,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2647638.2%29 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed MOUZ55c18,801$10,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,465.8238854.6%212 W · 176 L+18.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked 9z57c15,846$9,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,106.639247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked 9z43c14,899$6,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,457.425834.5%20 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed 9z4c13,345$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.096535.4%23 W · 42 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98d5…2ec4backed 9z45c12,160$5,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,482.472642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed MOUZ55c11,000$6,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9507146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed 9z52c9,637$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,037.744753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed 9z10c9,000$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.617540%30 W · 45 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed MOUZ69c7,913$5,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.8384246.2%389 W · 453 L-24.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb99c…7e96backed MOUZ55c6,779$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.762556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 9z17c6,737$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.381,52638.9%593 W · 933 L-45.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4800…557cbacked 9z46c6,644$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.83742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed MOUZ80c6,269$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.3810073%73 W · 27 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbe4…93afbacked MOUZ64c6,117$3,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e7…6a52backed MOUZ58c6,073$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.572458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed MOUZ44c6,025$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,368.911435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed 9z45c5,652$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.4148546.2%224 W · 261 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2829…12a0backed 9z43c5,340$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.21844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 9z32c5,041$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.352,47645.4%1,125 W · 1,351 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed MOUZ60c4,119$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.256946.4%32 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb132…6b5ebacked 9z20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked 9z1c4,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072323.5%170 W · 553 L+3.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked 9z44c3,658$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.0878457.3%449 W · 335 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed 9z37c3,646$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.0363734.7%221 W · 416 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed 9z1c3,537$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.819737.1%73 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed 9z44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.9959135.4%209 W · 382 L-1.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked MOUZ56c3,491$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.2233348.9%163 W · 170 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ56c3,264$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.812,15342.1%906 W · 1,247 L-47.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ58c3,119$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.8426339.9%105 W · 158 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ba…246cbacked MOUZ65c3,083$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.792343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked MOUZ54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3804641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked 9z1c3,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023221.1%49 W · 183 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-47.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35023643.6%103 W · 133 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked MOUZ55c2,764$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.6133552.5%176 W · 159 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed 9z35c2,696$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.7157532.3%186 W · 389 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ45c2,634$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.731,08649.5%538 W · 548 L+41.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed MOUZ55c2,587$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.346567.7%44 W · 21 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ42c2,504$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.3290548.3%437 W · 468 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ42c2,439$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.381,28847.3%609 W · 679 L+22.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed 9z16c2,392$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38597445.5%443 W · 531 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6be…a0f3backed MOUZ43c2,238$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.8312352.8%65 W · 58 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdac3…66d8backed 9z6c2,133$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.661346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed MOUZ72c2,053$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.61662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked 9z34c2,050$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.3397645.9%448 W · 528 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ59c2,011$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.18,17850.4%4,121 W · 4,057 L+175.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked 9z45c2,010$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.578045.5%355 W · 425 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked 9z42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8407346.6%34 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed MOUZ57c1,863$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.8626975.5%203 W · 66 L+25.9wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+12.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed 9z42c1,787$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.371546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda68…6b7bbacked 9z43c1,780$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.4850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked 9z32c1,776$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.32,00842.3%849 W · 1,159 L-74.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ56c1,706$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.571,76747.2%834 W · 933 L+6.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb454…a98cbacked MOUZ56c1,700$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7487945.6%36 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb15…5485backed MOUZ68c1,700$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.351471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4734…4ed5backed MOUZ58c1,641$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.211250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed 9z43c1,598$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.142944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5364…4ed0backed MOUZ57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6452445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed 9z34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51018444.6%82 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed 9z10c1,500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed 9z42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9939545.1%178 W · 217 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed MOUZ67c1,495$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.76055%33 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d7d…df55backed 9z43c1,457$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6252653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed MOUZ62c1,425$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.7311258.9%66 W · 46 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed 9z36c1,400$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50210651.9%55 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf444…8c90backed MOUZ56c1,400$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.881080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xacc1…3ce0backed 9z33c1,379$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.981050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f5…24adbacked MOUZ66c1,358$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.771457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cc…c8ddbacked 9z2c1,350$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219815.3%15 W · 83 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked MOUZ80c1,257$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.093467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98fcbacked 9z1c1,202$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick17cpaid+176.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0547…2ad3backed 9z44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5282665.4%17 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed 9z42c1,150$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.0641140.6%167 W · 244 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked 9z11c1,141$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.54325.6%11 W · 32 L-6.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ58c1,106$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.5243154.1%233 W · 198 L+26.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81e3…f30abacked 9z39c1,100$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.941758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed 9z18c1,073$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4938946.5%181 W · 208 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed 9z1c1,049$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4913935.3%49 W · 90 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed 9z5c1,044$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4912552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ61c1,041$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.321,64345.9%754 W · 889 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 9z23c1,036$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.345,19037.1%1,926 W · 3,264 L-275.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed 9z1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106734.3%23 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed 9z34c999.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33510242.2%43 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed MOUZ56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44041557.3%238 W · 177 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 9z31c997.84$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.482,33343.5%1,015 W · 1,318 L-71.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed 9z50c973.54$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.844337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fca…6ac3backed 9z35c972.06$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.515042%21 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed MOUZ57c960.31$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.934355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1ea…b845backed MOUZ58c959.68$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed 9z2c929.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.732147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 9z31c893.52$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.462,63941.2%1,087 W · 1,552 L-126.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked 9z43c880$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.413941.7%58 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed MOUZ57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.197949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed MOUZ58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.071,20554.5%657 W · 548 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked MOUZ58c856.1$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.118657%106 W · 80 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed 9z44c795.69$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34712351.2%63 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked 9z44c793.74$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.2517549.7%87 W · 88 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed 9z39c775.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017952.5%94 W · 85 L-0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa058…c0ddbacked 9z39c760$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+89.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.