Europa Conference League · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77ed8ee4ad21a6619409f7c5ded89430891648e2342fc3fbb4de5f02decf1cb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 4,736$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.38 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 55c | 4,457$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.26 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 48c | 3,415$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.01 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 2,221$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.98 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 65c | 2,105$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.03 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 39c | 1,813$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.13 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 1,048$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.09 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 865$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.8 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 805.84$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.87 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 28c | 774$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.28 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 43c | 772$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 60c | 625.4$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.16 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 54c | 442.23$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…4099backed Under | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 29c | 315.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…6122backed Under | 40c | 313$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 40c | 199.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 51c | 182.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…14d9backed Over | 78c | 161.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 59c | 147$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 142$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Under | 36c | 135$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 137 | 67.2%92 W · 45 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 293 | 37.5%110 W · 183 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 49c | 104.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 38c | 96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 354 | 46.9%166 W · 188 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 31c | 95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 61c | 76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 34c | 73.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 31c | 64.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 442 | 51.6%228 W · 214 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 62.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 186 | 59.1%110 W · 76 L | +20.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…a9d0backed Under | 60c | 55.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 357 | 46.2%165 W · 192 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 41c | 39.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 59c | 30.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 60c | 22.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 3.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: AS Monaco FC O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Górnik Zabrze O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Górnik Zabrze O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 0.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 4.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 5.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Team to AdvanceAS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.