Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e8748bd119624831e9e0b80fa374cefd864bb47b3ed551fb41e59f4fec57898
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AS Monaco FCof AS Monaco FC, Górnik Zabrze
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed AS Monaco FC | 32c | 7,901$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.85 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +6.3wins | +0.45per pick | 48cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Górnik Zabrze | 67c | 3,632$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.43 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Górnik Zabrze | 60c | 1,652$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.41 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Górnik Zabrze | 72c | 1,398$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Górnik Zabrze | 69c | 1,240$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.6 | 412 | 45.6%188 W · 224 L | +25.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Górnik Zabrze | 18c | 1,165$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed AS Monaco FC | 25c | 928.65$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.03 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AS Monaco FC | 78c | 819.59$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Górnik Zabrze | 69c | 691.74$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.3 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed AS Monaco FC | 55c | 465.53$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.56 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked AS Monaco FC | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Górnik Zabrze | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Górnik Zabrze | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Górnik Zabrze | 68c | 88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Górnik Zabrze | 69c | 68.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Górnik Zabrze | 73c | 62.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Górnik Zabrze | 70c | 39.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Górnik Zabrze | 69c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Górnik Zabrze | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Górnik Zabrze | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: AS Monaco FC O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Górnik Zabrze O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Górnik Zabrze O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 0.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 4.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 5.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Team to AdvanceAS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.