Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4690489b4ed2922d8b417d2094fb7945b56a497760f133e907b0ab095849840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AS Monaco FCof AS Monaco FC, Górnik Zabrze
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed AS Monaco FC | 50c | 20,034$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,034.17 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +6.3wins | +0.45per pick | 48cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Górnik Zabrze | 50c | 4,143$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.13 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Górnik Zabrze | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Górnik Zabrze | 49c | 1,614$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.65 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Górnik Zabrze | 49c | 1,496$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.21 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Górnik Zabrze | 49c | 1,326$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.98 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked AS Monaco FC | 50c | 1,068$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.51 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Górnik Zabrze | 49c | 1,010$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Górnik Zabrze | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Górnik Zabrze | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Górnik Zabrze | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Górnik Zabrze | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Górnik Zabrze | 51c | 998.91$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.44 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Górnik Zabrze | 49c | 921$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.29 | 412 | 45.6%188 W · 224 L | +25.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed AS Monaco FC | 52c | 894.03$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.66 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Górnik Zabrze | 32c | 827.71$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.45 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Górnik Zabrze | 49c | 645.74$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.41 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked AS Monaco FC | 40c | 587.17$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.97 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Górnik Zabrze | 56c | 540.88$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.2 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…5280backed AS Monaco FC | 50c | 515$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed AS Monaco FC | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked AS Monaco FC | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Górnik Zabrze | 49c | 319.08$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked AS Monaco FC | 48c | 254.17$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.17 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Górnik Zabrze | 61c | 226.03$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.88 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…9ac7backed AS Monaco FC | 48c | 208.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed AS Monaco FC | 49c | 201$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Górnik Zabrze | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Górnik Zabrze | 50c | 165.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Górnik Zabrze | 11c | 133.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Górnik Zabrze | 47c | 124.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -25.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbf96…09adbacked AS Monaco FC | 49c | 104$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Górnik Zabrze | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed AS Monaco FC | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Górnik Zabrze | 50c | 95.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked AS Monaco FC | 53c | 86.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Górnik Zabrze | 50c | 86.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Górnik Zabrze | 56c | 74.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Górnik Zabrze | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed AS Monaco FC | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked AS Monaco FC | 49c | 49.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked AS Monaco FC | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Górnik Zabrze | 49c | 48.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Górnik Zabrze | 50c | 40.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed AS Monaco FC | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Górnik Zabrze | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Górnik Zabrze | 50c | 39.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Górnik Zabrze | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked AS Monaco FC | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Górnik Zabrze | 50c | 34.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Górnik Zabrze | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Górnik Zabrze | 51c | 33.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed AS Monaco FC | 48c | 32.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed AS Monaco FC | 49c | 32.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Górnik Zabrze | 49c | 31.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…c6c9backed Górnik Zabrze | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed AS Monaco FC | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Górnik Zabrze | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked AS Monaco FC | 48c | 29.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked AS Monaco FC | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked AS Monaco FC | 50c | 24.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed AS Monaco FC | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ef…2c2bbacked AS Monaco FC | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: AS Monaco FC O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Górnik Zabrze O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Górnik Zabrze O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 0.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 4.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 5.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: Team to AdvanceAS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: Górnik Zabrze (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.