La Liga · resolved market
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x928402491a25ce768ca7505cc9078b60697c77f34b7e0bf031d66ea66e2cf831
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,190,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,194,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,190,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb0…6a68backed Yes | 49c | 184,423$90,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,367.48 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 49c | 167,933$82,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,645.95 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…9ccfbacked Yes | 51c | 165,660$84,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,486.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked Yes | 52c | 121,970$63,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,424.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 51c | 118,136$59,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,332.97 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 50c | 70,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 57c | 68,091$38,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,193.66 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,499.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b08…02abbacked Yes | 14c | 41,941$6,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,016.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 48c | 38,206$18,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,867.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 33,488$16,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,846.23 | 1,267 | 51.3%650 W · 617 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…4a1dbacked Yes | 74c | 30,000$22,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,149.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 50c | 24,300$12,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,150.15 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 67c | 23,764$16,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,737.45 | 1,138 | 32.4%369 W · 769 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 23,365$10,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,046.31 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 48c | 22,866$10,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,890.32 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Yes | 52c | 19,971$10,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,385.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 50c | 15,145$7,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,572.32 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 13c | 15,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 52c | 14,708$7,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,648.5 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 14,616$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,636.27 | 905 | 43.4%393 W · 512 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 16c | 14,164$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.3 | 648 | 39.5%256 W · 392 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 12,710$6,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100.88 | 1,612 | 38.4%619 W · 993 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 9,345$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,622.39 | 2,381 | 48.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 43c | 8,981$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082.15 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked No | 50c | 7,960$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 7,861$3,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.57 | 703 | 56.2%395 W · 308 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 47c | 7,750$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.16 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 53c | 7,232$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,433.4 | 485 | 48.9%237 W · 248 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 48c | 6,204$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.15 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 50c | 6,050$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 50c | 5,986$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 50c | 5,479$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.59 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 50c | 5,462$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.85 | 225 | 39.6%89 W · 136 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 5,188$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.36 | 1,086 | 48.2%523 W · 563 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…4ac2backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…e4dfbacked No | 51c | 4,784$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…3979backed No | 31c | 4,604$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…acb2backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed No | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked Yes | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 49c | 3,562$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.97 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked No | 75c | 3,450$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 23c | 2,968$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 57c | 2,874$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 51c | 2,814$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.86 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 50c | 2,777$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 51c | 2,723$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.26 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed No | 38c | 2,487$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Yes | 50c | 2,428$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd23a…d952backed No | 46c | 2,287$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 2,202$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.46 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 2,049$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.78 | 802 | 50.2%403 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…a4a2backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Yes | 23c | 1,997$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 1,938$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.86 | 742 | 49.9%370 W · 372 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…a97bbacked No | 49c | 1,910$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 68c | 1,770$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60bd…2469backed Yes | 5c | 1,756$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeee…43a6backed No | 51c | 1,512$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 52c | 1,494$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…2ee6backed No | 51c | 1,376$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.24 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 51c | 1,372$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.21 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 73c | 1,350$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.85 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 1,344$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.81 | 475 | 40.8%194 W · 281 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 76c | 1,318$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 51c | 1,301$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.47 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 1,296$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.64 | 543 | 38.5%209 W · 334 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 48c | 1,274$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c51…1fc1backed No | 39c | 1,238$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 53c | 1,216$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.87 | 735 | 49.7%365 W · 370 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 11c | 1,123$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 51c | 1,115$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.56 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 54c | 1,099$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.7 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 1,083$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.54 | 1,458 | 45.1%658 W · 800 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 48c | 1,067$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 40c | 1,051$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…5ff2backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 518 | 51.9%269 W · 249 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 203 | 22.2%45 W · 158 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.