La Liga · resolved market
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5306562f65e86eaf17e20fc07a39cd01053162fe6d3977eb9f75ff2f631f587
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Yes | 21c | 161,715$33,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,358.08 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 78c | 87,790$68,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,493.4 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 67c | 34,541$23,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000.65 | 1,187 | 32.4%385 W · 802 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 20c | 34,396$6,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,516.78 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b08…02abbacked Yes | 21c | 24,788$5,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,582.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 43cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 41c | 20,048$8,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,228.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 14,834$11,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,863.26 | 1,293 | 51.5%666 W · 627 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 12,656$9,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,879.91 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 35c | 8,998$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,848.77 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 7,564$4,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.81 | 678 | 39.2%266 W · 412 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 6,170$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.61 | 510 | 48.6%248 W · 262 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 77c | 5,860$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.22 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 5,190$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.69 | 924 | 43%397 W · 527 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 5,169$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.48 | 3,571 | 42.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L | +26.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 79c | 4,886$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.94 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 4,251$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.57 | 2,394 | 48.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 80c | 3,136$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.8 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 2,500$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.5 | 809 | 50.3%407 W · 402 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed No | 80c | 2,313$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 202 | 25.2%51 W · 151 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 79c | 1,886$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.31 | 532 | 49.4%263 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 45c | 1,857$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.14 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 78c | 1,577$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 106 | 66%70 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 36c | 1,249$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.01 | 483 | 38.3%185 W · 298 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 78c | 1,243$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.09 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 1,209$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.13 | 749 | 49.8%373 W · 376 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 62c | 1,195$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…6303backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…e829backed Yes | 23c | 1,065$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 521 | 52%271 W · 250 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 40c | 966.97$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.41 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 898.87$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.73 | 1,466 | 45%659 W · 807 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 864.99$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.7 | 724 | 55.8%404 W · 320 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 80c | 800$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 80c | 800$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 1c | 756.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 2c | 730.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 53c | 727.58$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.47 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 16c | 637.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No | 8c | 634.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 77c | 585$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.45 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 552.6$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.18 | 477 | 40.9%195 W · 282 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 34c | 528.51$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.09 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 51c | 500.91$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.28 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 76c | 489.3$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 41c | 476.2$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 77c | 471.09$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes | 62c | 461.97$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 456$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.32 | 862 | 50.2%433 W · 429 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed No | 52c | 441.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…2f1abacked No | 12c | 416.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yes | 22c | 399.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 55c | 381$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.28 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 351.3$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.48 | 1,104 | 48.5%535 W · 569 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed No | 79c | 332.45$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.93 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…9cf1backed Yes | 26c | 315.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 80c | 312$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 13c | 312$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 79c | 294.69$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 46c | 278.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…a3a9backed Yes | 25c | 246.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +557.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 43c | 244.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Yes | 41c | 241.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 44c | 228.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 250 | 26.8%67 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 78c | 225$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 24c | 224.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.63 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked No | 42c | 214.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 212.51$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.94 | 950 | 54.2%515 W · 435 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…99cdbacked Yes | 23c | 206.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 80c | 204$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…888bbacked Yes | 23c | 188.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…358bbacked Yes | 14c | 185.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked No | 78c | 184.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 24c | 183.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Yes | 22c | 176$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 23c | 175$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 173.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 565 | 38.1%215 W · 350 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 64c | 152.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 21c | 132.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8899…2491backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed No | 80c | 131$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…950ebacked No | 78c | 129$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…ba20backed No | 78c | 128.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.