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La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes30c193,112$57,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,697.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No71c37,275$26,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,747.9611041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f21…82d6backed No70c20,100$14,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,030450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+82.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No70c20,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0006331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c16,196$11,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,467.4167839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No71c15,767$11,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,603.721,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c15,283$10,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,581.771,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No70c13,900$9,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.991662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No70c11,200$7,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36014646.6%68 W · 78 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes29c10,000$2,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,945.392951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No70c7,869$5,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.573930.8%12 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No70c7,007$4,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.011080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c6,424$4,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.322,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No70c6,250$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.997153.5%38 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed No71c5,250$3,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No70c4,862$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.4351048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c4,469$3,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.0972455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c3,750$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.580950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7403…0e82backed Yes30c3,454$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes20c2,791$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.251,46645%659 W · 807 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No52c2,445$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.6592443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No70c2,127$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.5453249.4%263 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No71c2,089$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.81,10448.5%535 W · 569 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60074949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No71c1,835$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.0319847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No71c1,316$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.755532.7%18 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30052152%271 W · 250 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No72c999.96$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9910661.3%65 W · 41 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No71c999.95$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9822022.3%49 W · 171 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No72c701.71$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7217451.7%90 W · 84 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No69c696.9$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.324951%25 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No71c696.43$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.181,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No70c670$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20111355.8%63 W · 50 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes30c670$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes17c601.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c534.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.293,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc15c…6122backed Yes20c507.38$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12011859.3%70 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12013357.9%77 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked Yes32c377.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202520%5 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c359$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.786250.2%433 W · 429 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3618…b2b2backed Yes30c336.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c315.69$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4695054.2%515 W · 435 L+1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd010…2ee6backed Yes29c299$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.712665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No71c284.86$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.612548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No72c243.06$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.063056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No75c236.67$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0711845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes21c234.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3414043.6%61 W · 79 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes30c227.32$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8424540%98 W · 147 L-17.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No71c205.21$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.513455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587650%38 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608955.1%49 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No73c190.75$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.688046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb03…1f23backed Yes30c186$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes16c175$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a98…ef19backed Yes19c147$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.93450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No67c142.71$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.391435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No70c136.95$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0748338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c02…23bcbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc134…feddbacked Yes29c131$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed No72c127.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.292157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes29c127.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No74c122.21$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.793743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdecf…2957backed No72c108.11$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027344.3%121 W · 152 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514733.3%49 W · 98 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7812…4bcdbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.12035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes16c96.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4536434.9%127 W · 237 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x242f…6fa9backed No59c95.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes32c89.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.731266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No75c82.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8819039.5%75 W · 115 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2410059%59 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes27c78.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0910345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No57c77.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.646662.1%41 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes18c70.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7361048%293 W · 317 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes31c70.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.562154.4%338 W · 283 L+28.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.444780.9%38 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick76cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4410666%70 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee51…3b20backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5161…9ea1backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No65c54.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.474250%21 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No58c52.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.316139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa466…1c77backed Yes21c51.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b4…2329backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154365.1%28 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f7c…34e7backed Yes29c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.58949.4%44 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d9…0868backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes29c49.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No71c48.12$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9612846.1%59 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d77…c07abacked Yes28c46.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71fe…d3ccbacked No72c46.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.911656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+22.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No68c44.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.084445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.