CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83de0f8ae092df6410f46a495ee049c8f15c56f7ce9483e58841d4b99adf7d1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $555,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $593,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed paiN | 32c | 77,094$24,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,472.45 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…77d3backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 49,000$33,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,190 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked paiN | 47c | 15,069$7,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,082.43 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 12,336$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,516.38 | 1,282 | 47.3%607 W · 675 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 12,000$5,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,483.86 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 11,805$6,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,621.83 | 897 | 48.6%436 W · 461 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 10,761$7,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.84 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked paiN | 50c | 10,663$5,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,291.61 | 334 | 49.1%164 W · 170 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed paiN | 35c | 10,380$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed paiN | 26c | 9,877$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.92 | 403 | 46.7%188 W · 215 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 9,092$5,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.07 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 9,031$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,476.96 | 1,636 | 45.9%751 W · 885 L | +35.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 8,565$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.35 | 1,078 | 49.5%534 W · 544 L | +42.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 8,550$4,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.13 | 911 | 47.5%433 W · 478 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed paiN | 20c | 8,159$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.39 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked paiN | 14c | 7,865$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.8 | 233 | 30.9%72 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 7,700$5,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.5 | 269 | 54.6%147 W · 122 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009d…b146backed paiN | 44c | 7,153$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked paiN | 28c | 7,000$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.9 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN | 65c | 6,938$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.71 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 6,406$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.52 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked paiN | 50c | 5,947$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 5,779$4,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.83 | 98 | 72.4%71 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…b287backed paiN | 15c | 5,520$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…41f9backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 5,200$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked paiN | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 784 | 57.3%449 W · 335 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed paiN | 57c | 4,821$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.54 | 2,561 | 43.2%1,107 W · 1,454 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked paiN | 37c | 4,300$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.62 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 4,231$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.17 | 2,137 | 42%897 W · 1,240 L | -48.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…637abacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 4,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 4,000$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.3 | 441 | 39.2%173 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,985$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.46 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 3,917$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.95 | 407 | 68.1%277 W · 130 L | +28.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,468$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.07 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…46d7backed paiN | 20c | 3,450$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…266cbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,400$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed paiN | 27c | 3,400$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.52 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…f2b5backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,355$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,311$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.72 | 828 | 51.9%430 W · 398 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed paiN | 30c | 3,291$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.65 | 350 | 31.1%109 W · 241 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,811$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.53 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,776$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.97 | 424 | 54.7%232 W · 192 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed paiN | 41c | 2,533$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.09 | 568 | 32.4%184 W · 384 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,331$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.82 | 276 | 53.3%147 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…2f6ebacked paiN | 21c | 2,300$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.5 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked paiN | 38c | 2,193$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.51 | 769 | 45.3%348 W · 421 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,137$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.25 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed paiN | 32c | 2,107$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked paiN | 13c | 2,091$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.48 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed paiN | 26c | 2,078$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.96 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed paiN | 33c | 2,057$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.5 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,046$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.77 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,000$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed paiN | 43c | 2,000$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.38 | 763 | 50.6%386 W · 377 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,916$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.62 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed paiN | 45c | 1,850$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.78 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -17.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked paiN | 41c | 1,835$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.11 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…7bdebacked paiN | 60c | 1,825$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked paiN | 39c | 1,800$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.07 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…180dbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,721$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed paiN | 24c | 1,645$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.54 | 113 | 27.4%31 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,641$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.08 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed paiN | 37c | 1,633$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked paiN | 26c | 1,631$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,565$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.61 | 538 | 34.8%187 W · 351 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a59…68fbbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,504$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked paiN | 32c | 1,484$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.42 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN | 56c | 1,419$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.58 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79f6…8f75backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,377$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…82babacked paiN | 31c | 1,351$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.64 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,297$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.63 | 765 | 53.3%408 W · 357 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked paiN | 30c | 1,296$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.39 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked paiN | 28c | 1,241$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.03 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…de9dbacked paiN | 32c | 1,240$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,199$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.95 | 534 | 49.6%265 W · 269 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…69b3backed paiN | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,150$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 988 | 40.7%402 W · 586 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,150$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.42 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,122$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.39 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed paiN | 33c | 1,076$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.5 | 209 | 40.7%85 W · 124 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,021$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.85 | 379 | 39.8%151 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked paiN | 22c | 1,000$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.14 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed paiN | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 584 | 35.8%209 W · 375 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked paiN | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed paiN | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.9 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed paiN | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 995.19$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.07 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed paiN | 15c | 975.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed paiN | 3c | 973.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 219 | 42.9%94 W · 125 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 953.25$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.51 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked paiN | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac3…66d8backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 926.49$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6b5ebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 901.2$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 856.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.24 | 173 | 52.6%91 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked paiN | 22c | 852$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 2,829 | 37.7%1,066 W · 1,763 L | -138.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 841.99$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.58 | 460 | 57.2%263 W · 197 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked paiN | 34c | 807$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.1 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked paiN | 19c | 799.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 323 | 22.6%73 W · 250 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed paiN | 56c | 797.67$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 750$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group ANatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.