CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21feb2659e70d0273a13d46032e7b9b29a2d971e0d344a9eab2de13558486c0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2525…3dddbacked Under | 67c | 13,417$8,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,489.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Over | 50c | 10,086$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 251 | 39.4%99 W · 152 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 39c | 8,823$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.97 | 196 | 42.3%83 W · 113 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 61c | 7,666$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.12 | 1,756 | 47.3%830 W · 926 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 33c | 7,071$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.76 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 4,000$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 48c | 3,823$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.43 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 33c | 3,504$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.35 | 379 | 54.9%208 W · 171 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Under | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 59c | 1,992$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.75 | 827 | 44.4%367 W · 460 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 61c | 1,492$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.88 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 60c | 1,289$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.46 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 50c | 777$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.5 | 369 | 42.8%158 W · 211 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…2eeabacked Over | 38c | 686.34$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 50c | 619.13$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.03 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,346 | 44.1%594 W · 752 L | +45.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…2827backed Under | 62c | 467.74$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 52c | 455.35$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.43 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Under | 60c | 335.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Under | 74c | 323.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 35c | 307.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…6731backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e03…27bfbacked Over | 39c | 280$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Over | 38c | 255.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 245$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 59c | 201.53$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…33b4backed Under | 61c | 189$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Under | 50c | 178.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 765 | 53.3%408 W · 357 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…c77cbacked Over | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 58c | 142$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 33c | 108.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 90.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 850 | 51.8%440 W · 410 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 50c | 87.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 2,829 | 37.7%1,066 W · 1,763 L | -138.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 50c | 78.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 331 | 38.7%128 W · 203 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 50c | 78.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 315 | 38.7%122 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…1488backed Over | 46c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 51c | 74.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 62c | 60.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 346 | 57.5%199 W · 147 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 61c | 52.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Under | 23c | 52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 253 | 50.6%128 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…a417backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 32c | 39.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 793 | 46.4%368 W · 425 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Over | 38c | 36.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 391 | 39.1%153 W · 238 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…61f3backed Over | 38c | 34.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3793…8f46backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ec…73b6backed Under | 61c | 29.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 28.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 781 | 48.3%377 W · 404 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 27.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 58c | 25.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59a…0b67backed Under | 60c | 23.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked Under | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 76c | 15.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group ANatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.