CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe15e7ecc3e4a097d4a6053b6bc243e528fa2ea7ae77c992a4cc2f25d5beaf51f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,363,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,740,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,363,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed paiN | 16c | 364,947$58,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,521.58 | 280 | 56.1%157 W · 123 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 50,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…6529backed paiN | 20c | 38,001$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600.17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed paiN | 20c | 27,988$5,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,597.62 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed paiN | 19c | 26,030$4,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.06 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 25,100$20,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,020 | 358 | 54.2%194 W · 164 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked paiN | 20c | 23,186$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.15 | 251 | 39.4%99 W · 152 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked paiN | 19c | 22,351$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.68 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed paiN | 17c | 22,222$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.74 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed paiN | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed paiN | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed paiN | 20c | 17,081$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.34 | 196 | 42.3%83 W · 113 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 10,272$7,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.46 | 1,704 | 47%801 W · 903 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed paiN | 20c | 9,889$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.75 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked paiN | 17c | 9,564$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.93 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN | 11c | 8,886$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.55 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…266cbacked paiN | 19c | 8,505$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked paiN | 19c | 7,927$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.97 | 231 | 25.1%58 W · 173 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed paiN | 17c | 7,466$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.22 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 7,422$5,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.48 | 216 | 59.7%129 W · 87 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked paiN | 16c | 6,926$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.94 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked paiN | 22c | 6,689$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 6,313$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.69 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…dd4dbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 5,007$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1,444 | 33.4%482 W · 962 L | +39.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…4ed0backed paiN | 3c | 5,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked paiN | 25c | 4,992$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.95 | 202 | 28.7%58 W · 144 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 4,879$3,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.01 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed paiN | 18c | 4,837$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.93 | 391 | 45.3%177 W · 214 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed paiN | 19c | 4,824$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.49 | 624 | 41.7%260 W · 364 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed paiN | 27c | 4,692$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…ef79backed paiN | 6c | 4,588$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.06 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafcb…df99backed paiN | 13c | 4,514$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…80a3backed paiN | 18c | 4,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed paiN | 22c | 4,279$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.73 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed paiN | 24c | 3,541$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.03 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed paiN | 20c | 3,400$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 568 | 32.4%184 W · 384 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked paiN | 20c | 3,042$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked paiN | 19c | 3,019$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.61 | 661 | 51.9%343 W · 318 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked paiN | 21c | 2,939$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.26 | 263 | 43.3%114 W · 149 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,656$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.94 | 1,629 | 29.8%485 W · 1,144 L | -90.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed paiN | 21c | 2,622$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.52 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…3062backed paiN | 12c | 2,279$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed paiN | 19c | 2,146$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.73 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked paiN | 9c | 2,140$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.59 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked paiN | 20c | 2,091$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 1,638 | 44.6%731 W · 907 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed paiN | 19c | 2,000$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.71 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed paiN | 14c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…eab0backed paiN | 18c | 1,900$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,821$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.84 | 1,710 | 53.2%909 W · 801 L | +65.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a6…6044backed paiN | 19c | 1,820$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…aa9fbacked paiN | 10c | 1,750$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked paiN | 20c | 1,750$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.65 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed paiN | 15c | 1,616$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.31 | 113 | 27.4%31 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…1a3abacked paiN | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 96 | 14.6%14 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked paiN | 10c | 1,430$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 143 | 50.3%72 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed paiN | 18c | 1,417$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.06 | 350 | 31.1%109 W · 241 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…370abacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,388$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.69 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,376$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.46 | 897 | 48.6%436 W · 461 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked paiN | 24c | 1,288$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.55 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed paiN | 24c | 1,283$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.18 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615b…9591backed paiN | 31c | 1,189$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked paiN | 14c | 1,157$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 534 | 49.6%265 W · 269 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed paiN | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed paiN | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed paiN | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,346 | 44.1%594 W · 752 L | +45.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked paiN | 21c | 1,015$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 762 | 54.9%418 W · 344 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed paiN | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed paiN | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 584 | 35.8%209 W · 375 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked paiN | 18c | 986.45$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 208 | 22.6%47 W · 161 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed paiN | 28c | 933.53$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.52 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…73cbbacked paiN | 9c | 889.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…c3e0backed paiN | 9c | 888.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked paiN | 20c | 865.81$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 371 | 40.2%149 W · 222 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed paiN | 23c | 841.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ef…82b8backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 791.75$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e07…10fcbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 780$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked paiN | 26c | 775$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 184 | 48.4%89 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked paiN | 5c | 723.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +16.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked paiN | 17c | 699.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 112 | 36.6%41 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed paiN | 14c | 687.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN | 8c | 675.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed paiN | 18c | 661.12$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…4efabacked paiN | 15c | 652.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked paiN | 2c | 650$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 168 | 11.3%19 W · 149 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed paiN | 19c | 626$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 623$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed paiN | 3c | 612$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…9781backed paiN | 12c | 582.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…d288backed paiN | 18c | 571.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…4349backed paiN | 19c | 563.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…1f0bbacked paiN | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed paiN | 15c | 552.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 556 | 39.7%221 W · 335 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 538.25$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…29ffbacked paiN | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed paiN | 21c | 521$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 161 | 41%66 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.