CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x643b36e9531aa969f09ecb476846c4de6471f7cb375f1b3b8d2326d15af12a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $731,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $783,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed paiN | 36c | 61,877$22,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,071.7 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 45,647$30,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,504.94 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed paiN | 30c | 41,084$12,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,416.35 | 196 | 42.3%83 W · 113 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 20,900$15,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,016 | 358 | 54.2%194 W · 164 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.97 | 797 | 52.7%420 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 19,186$14,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,604.57 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed paiN | 25c | 19,158$4,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,761.11 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 12,000$5,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,141.29 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 10,000$7,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.62 | 269 | 54.6%147 W · 122 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked paiN | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 233 | 30.9%72 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 9,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 1,756 | 47.3%830 W · 926 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked paiN | 19c | 8,574$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.19 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed paiN | 37c | 7,124$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.71 | 897 | 48.6%436 W · 461 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed paiN | 46c | 7,041$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.85 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed paiN | 78c | 6,858$5,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,323.79 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…6657backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 6,669$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.76 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed paiN | 25c | 6,539$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.55 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 6,282$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.18 | 911 | 47.5%433 W · 478 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed paiN | 34c | 6,175$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed paiN | 23c | 6,047$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.26 | 350 | 31.1%109 W · 241 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed paiN | 24c | 5,981$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed paiN | 27c | 5,953$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.23 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 5,762$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.81 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…b287backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 5,564$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,671.87 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 5,546$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.71 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed paiN | 24c | 5,330$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.64 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 5,274$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.13 | 403 | 46.7%188 W · 215 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 5,058$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.63 | 1,078 | 49.5%534 W · 544 L | +42.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked paiN | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 4,926$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.69 | 460 | 57.2%263 W · 197 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 4,912$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.82 | 1,704 | 47%801 W · 903 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 4,212$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.4 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked paiN | 33c | 3,935$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.1 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN | 7c | 3,862$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked paiN | 1c | 3,712$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 717 | 23.7%170 W · 547 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed paiN | 43c | 3,333$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.94 | 2,561 | 43.2%1,107 W · 1,454 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,264$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.32 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN | 37c | 3,239$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.99 | 1,282 | 47.3%607 W · 675 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed paiN | 24c | 3,103$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.72 | 379 | 54.9%208 W · 171 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 3,003$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked paiN | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,836$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.07 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,791$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.56 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed paiN | 33c | 2,720$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.48 | 568 | 32.4%184 W · 384 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 2,526$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.31 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN | 13c | 2,388$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.89 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…180dbacked paiN | 35c | 2,320$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked paiN | 36c | 2,200$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.39 | 769 | 45.3%348 W · 421 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked paiN | 25c | 2,197$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.25 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 2,161$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.43 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked paiN | 24c | 2,115$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.87 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed paiN | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed paiN | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,996$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.14 | 784 | 57.3%449 W · 335 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked paiN | 24c | 1,887$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.88 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,840$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.8 | 296 | 47%139 W · 157 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed paiN | 51c | 1,762$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.22 | 407 | 68.1%277 W · 130 L | +28.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…f2b5backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,683$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed paiN | 35c | 1,640$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 113 | 27.4%31 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd2…9120backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,597$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN | 44c | 1,587$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.29 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,583$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.43 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN | 13c | 1,526$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.54 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,524$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.24 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed paiN | 64c | 1,500$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,444 | 33.4%482 W · 962 L | +39.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.98 | 988 | 40.7%402 W · 586 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed paiN | 23c | 1,395$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.41 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed paiN | 39c | 1,384$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,305$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.48 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,297$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.87 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked paiN | 24c | 1,292$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,290$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,269$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.28 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,267$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed paiN | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked paiN | 35c | 1,238$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.28 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,228$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.34 | 828 | 51.9%430 W · 398 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,203$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.05 | 480 | 46.3%222 W · 258 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…46d7backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked paiN | 46c | 1,198$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked paiN | 37c | 1,196$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.01 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…1a6bbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,184$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed paiN | 22c | 1,165$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed paiN | 19c | 1,128$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 632 | 34.7%219 W · 413 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,065$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,053$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 276 | 53.3%147 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,044$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.37 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…69b3backed paiN | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked paiN | 59c | 1,041$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 551 | 37.2%205 W · 346 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…0701backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,034$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,012$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.67 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…637abacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked paiN | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed paiN | 47c | 971.2$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.47 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked paiN | 52c | 963.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…f7f9backed paiN | 79c | 936.52$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 934.45$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.87 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…82babacked paiN | 34c | 911.1$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.57 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group ANatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.