CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87fe084d95d2f9c7c15fff848dde7bdce19ce426704f1260d2634c7141997f0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,600 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed paiN | 44c | 20,034$8,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,815 | 280 | 56.1%157 W · 123 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked paiN | 44c | 17,000$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,480 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 10,330$5,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752.02 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked paiN | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 269 | 54.6%147 W · 122 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed paiN | 42c | 6,370$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.05 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 5,738$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.76 | 258 | 40.3%104 W · 154 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…b0f7backed paiN | 47c | 5,549$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed paiN | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…5972backed paiN | 45c | 4,961$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.56 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 4,712$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.36 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…6657backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 4,444$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 4,381$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.69 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked paiN | 26c | 4,152$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 4,023$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.68 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…77d3backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 4,022$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed paiN | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 728 | 46.3%337 W · 391 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,935$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.04 | 379 | 54.9%208 W · 171 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,690$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.25 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked paiN | 46c | 2,554$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.98 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed paiN | 45c | 2,518$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.54 | 988 | 40.7%402 W · 586 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed paiN | 46c | 2,471$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.52 | 391 | 39.1%153 W · 238 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked paiN | 44c | 2,175$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.5 | 1,184 | 48%568 W · 616 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed paiN | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 804 | 39.7%319 W · 485 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed paiN | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 1,101 | 51%561 W · 540 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked paiN | 45c | 1,777$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.64 | 200 | 52%104 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,536$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.36 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed paiN | 38c | 1,304$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.09 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7d…df55backed paiN | 46c | 1,283$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 324 | 53.7%174 W · 150 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked paiN | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.94 | 1,152 | 49.4%569 W · 583 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 386 | 46.6%180 W · 206 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,029$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.18 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed paiN | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 584 | 35.8%209 W · 375 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab28…c210backed paiN | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed paiN | 45c | 911.11$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed paiN | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…5e19backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed paiN | 44c | 849.99$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 230 | 41.3%95 W · 135 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked paiN | 41c | 842.13$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.2 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked paiN | 45c | 829.99$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.5 | 240 | 54.2%130 W · 110 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 787.29$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.19 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 740.74$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 631 | 56.4%356 W · 275 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 704.12$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…b221backed paiN | 46c | 697.22$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 675.89$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.15 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 651.29$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 611.08$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.1 | 890 | 51.2%456 W · 434 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed paiN | 48c | 593.59$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 578.65$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.39 | 1,704 | 47%801 W · 903 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…fb9abacked paiN | 45c | 564.49$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 561.23$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.23 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 545.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 526.34$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.85 | 534 | 49.6%265 W · 269 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 416 | 49.3%205 W · 211 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed paiN | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 200 | 37.5%75 W · 125 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 624 | 41.7%260 W · 364 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 475$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.5 | 1,756 | 47.3%830 W · 926 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 471.91$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 461.96$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.88 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…f4f3backed paiN | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed paiN | 44c | 438.45$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…29ffbacked paiN | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked paiN | 46c | 399.72$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.87 | 504 | 45.8%231 W · 273 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 385.52$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.63 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 367.4$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked paiN | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed paiN | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8789…e320backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 306.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN | 46c | 306.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked paiN | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 785 | 47.3%371 W · 414 L | -26.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 299.95$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 1,051 | 49%515 W · 536 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d9…ac79backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 298.91$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 259.03$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 249.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 239.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 231$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 230$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 606 | 55.1%334 W · 272 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked paiN | 46c | 229.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed paiN | 64c | 224$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 218$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed paiN | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked paiN | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 50.4%260 W · 256 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 212$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…7800backed paiN | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 301 | 38.2%115 W · 186 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 174.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 169$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 223 | 53.8%120 W · 103 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 166.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…cd09backed paiN | 45c | 159.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed paiN | 45c | 157.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 259 | 45.9%119 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group ANatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.