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CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lynn Visionof Team Falcons, Lynn Vision
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$887,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$918,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $887,159 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Lynn Vision35c351,053$123,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227,654.5113450.7%68 W · 66 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Lynn Vision35c221,331$77,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,518.2527256.6%154 W · 118 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Team Falcons66c152,215$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,00016943.8%74 W · 95 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Falcons66c72,256$47,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,653.0852349.3%258 W · 265 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lynn Vision36c67,046$24,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,969.095,13755%2,826 W · 2,311 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Team Falcons64c60,000$38,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,394.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Team Falcons64c55,555$35,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,555.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b77…9ec3backed Team Falcons64c52,001$33,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,280.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Team Falcons64c44,680$28,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,595.171233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5c6…177cbacked Team Falcons65c30,307$19,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,699.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons64c27,501$17,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,645.9223740.9%97 W · 140 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Team Falcons64c25,513$16,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,328.3228353.4%151 W · 132 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…12babacked Team Falcons68c20,921$14,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,148.533531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons65c20,000$12,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,90010354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Falcons65c20,000$13,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00518761%114 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Team Falcons65c15,359$10,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,001.451346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Team Falcons64c14,831$9,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,491.454551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons65c14,757$9,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,561.0837254%201 W · 171 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Lynn Vision35c14,362$4,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,389.0837454.8%205 W · 169 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Team Falcons64c13,290$8,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,505.53633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lynn Vision34c12,500$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,25023845.4%108 W · 130 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons65c11,589$7,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,524.7626048.8%127 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Team Falcons65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.9926454.9%145 W · 119 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Team Falcons64c9,915$6,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,354.7867048.1%322 W · 348 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Team Falcons64c9,375$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f62…dd4dbacked Team Falcons64c9,193$5,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,895.751258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed Lynn Vision31c9,000$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,209.945570.9%39 W · 16 L+8.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc16…1fadbacked Team Falcons65c7,197$4,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,677.65520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Lynn Vision35c5,515$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,605.5569351.9%360 W · 333 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Team Falcons65c5,503$3,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,552.7226143.3%113 W · 148 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons65c5,500$3,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,56097840.7%398 W · 580 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons66c5,273$3,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,458.7618943.4%82 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons67c5,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35050754%274 W · 233 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Team Falcons65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25023653.8%127 W · 109 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lynn Vision36c4,973$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.252,67451.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L+25.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Lynn Vision35c4,579$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,976.194946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x847f…459ebacked Team Falcons64c4,200$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,688933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Team Falcons65c3,690$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.64360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Team Falcons64c3,675$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,351.724856.9%141 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Lynn Vision35c3,468$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.2511851.7%61 W · 57 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons66c3,030$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00032848.8%160 W · 168 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Lynn Vision34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9802050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Team Falcons64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9205238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons64c2,963$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.331,80259.3%1,069 W · 733 L+107.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Lynn Vision36c2,822$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8172,04853.8%1,101 W · 947 L+8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed Team Falcons64c2,685$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.333339.4%13 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Lynn Vision32c2,578$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.1354837.4%205 W · 343 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons63c2,020$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.5648246.5%224 W · 258 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Team Falcons67c2,000$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34519353.9%104 W · 89 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked Lynn Vision35c1,725$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.859369.9%65 W · 28 L+13.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa5da…ed2ebacked Team Falcons65c1,700$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.071225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-66.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Team Falcons64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Team Falcons64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Team Falcons65c1,550$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.517650%88 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed Team Falcons65c1,489$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.859043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Team Falcons65c1,400$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9034443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7757…cf9ebacked Team Falcons63c1,365$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8be4…a700backed Team Falcons66c1,350$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.485952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons64c1,327$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.51,04252.5%547 W · 495 L+29.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Team Falcons64c1,281$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8209647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7d…df55backed Lynn Vision37c1,257$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.761752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Team Falcons67c1,250$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9931258.3%182 W · 130 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Lynn Vision35c1,143$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.8561855.8%345 W · 273 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Team Falcons64c1,122$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7184447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Team Falcons67c1,119$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9912354.5%67 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe453…256ebacked Team Falcons65c1,031$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6702437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Team Falcons64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Team Falcons64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64095245.8%436 W · 516 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Team Falcons65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65036840.5%149 W · 219 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Team Falcons69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69040157.4%230 W · 171 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Lynn Vision35c999.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.9926354.8%144 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…a7e4backed Team Falcons64c999.84$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.872669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc68…f899backed Team Falcons70c994.61$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6934546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons65c956.68$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.392,41245.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L-62.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Lynn Vision36c885.62$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9176945.9%353 W · 416 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked Team Falcons66c872.88$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5766238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Lynn Vision35c843.31$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.155337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Lynn Vision36c822.94$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9410465.4%68 W · 36 L+12.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee46…faa0backed Team Falcons63c806.11$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.231136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons64c805.28$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.388,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Lynn Vision36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51221242.9%91 W · 121 L-14.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Team Falcons64c800$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51222941.5%95 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9c5…73cbbacked Lynn Vision37c782.43$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.934930.6%15 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb39b…9826backed Team Falcons65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ef…7d38backed Team Falcons64c762.5$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4883548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Falcons69c761.86$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.341,38866.3%920 W · 468 L+75.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Lynn Vision33c755.57$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.584540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Team Falcons69c728.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020756%116 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1765…17febacked Team Falcons69c720.69$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.983243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86ee…ef1fbacked Team Falcons67c705.4$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Lynn Vision35c700$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4557562.7%47 W · 28 L+8.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Team Falcons69c693.34$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.951457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f4…148cbacked Team Falcons65c674.58$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Team Falcons64c647.03$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.19660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Team Falcons64c647.03$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.14854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Team Falcons64c647.03$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.17458.1%43 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Team Falcons68c636.03$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.523340.8%95 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Team Falcons64c627.66$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.714551.7%75 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Team Falcons64c625$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022544%99 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Team Falcons64c620.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40050050.8%254 W · 246 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.