CS2 · resolved market
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5e011a1cf40ed377c99fde11a845b42848eba58c11bf16218beaa2a743bddd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Under | 40c | 1,498$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.39 | 282 | 46.8%132 W · 150 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under | 36c | 1,337$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.75 | 261 | 43.3%113 W · 148 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c4…fe32backed Over | 60c | 755.27$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9b…3f82backed Over | 61c | 615.31$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…813cbacked Over | 59c | 499.8$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Over | 59c | 454.98$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 45c | 437.8$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.41 | 374 | 54.8%205 W · 169 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Under | 25c | 437.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 452 | 43.6%197 W · 255 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…aebabacked Under | 25c | 433.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +243.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6083…aa55backed Over | 55c | 390.71$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 60c | 382$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.8 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Over | 61c | 206.51$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 283 | 53.4%151 W · 132 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 41c | 182.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 1,950 | 47.8%932 W · 1,018 L | -50.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…ef5abacked Under | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…682abacked Over | 62c | 177.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 42c | 103.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 51c | 86.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 833 | 46.2%385 W · 448 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…6232backed Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Over | 59c | 56.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…ddcabacked Under | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 41c | 50.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…40f4backed Over | 62c | 48.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…588dbacked Under | 42c | 46.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -8.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x69a3…ff9fbacked Over | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa5…6435backed Over | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…a316backed Over | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d4…d6f6backed Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd326…9ce1backed Over | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Lynn Vision won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Lynn Vision won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)Lynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.