CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9ea77563e60b852b9417395b27f637060eb559292b7043a1a1862e8ff509db2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc877…ef5abacked Lynn Vision | 0c | 7,404$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons | 73c | 7,048$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.22 | 1,042 | 52.5%547 W · 495 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Lynn Vision | 27c | 1,374$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.66 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09a…77fcbacked Lynn Vision | 27c | 807.41$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked Lynn Vision | 27c | 745.81$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.37 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed Lynn Vision | 27c | 645.17$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Lynn Vision | 27c | 585$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…7acbbacked Lynn Vision | 27c | 577$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…03d3backed Lynn Vision | 28c | 519.77$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…d554backed Lynn Vision | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…5558backed Lynn Vision | 27c | 474$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Lynn Vision | 33c | 472.37$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.18 | 1,051 | 39.8%418 W · 633 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Team Falcons | 63c | 313.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Lynn Vision | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 843 | 43.3%365 W · 478 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked Lynn Vision | 27c | 245$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Lynn Vision | 28c | 227.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lynn Vision | 27c | 139.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Team Falcons | 75c | 124.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 631 | 55.3%349 W · 282 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Team Falcons | 73c | 106$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 669 | 49%328 W · 341 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Lynn Vision | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 589 | 54.2%319 W · 270 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Team Falcons | 75c | 61.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 358 | 43%154 W · 204 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Lynn Vision | 31c | 37.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 260 | 34.2%89 W · 171 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25dd…0034backed Team Falcons | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…50d8backed Team Falcons | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Team Falcons | 74c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 878 | 54.3%477 W · 401 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Lynn Vision won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Lynn Vision won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)Lynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.