CS2 · resolved market
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fe722442a055b8e40a189b639565b4e629786d93d3ed27f5204427a3097ac32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Falcons | 55c | 6,933$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.75 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Lynn Vision | 45c | 2,669$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201 | 640 | 41.9%268 W · 372 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Lynn Vision | 45c | 2,057$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.44 | 665 | 46.8%311 W · 354 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Lynn Vision | 45c | 418.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Lynn Vision | 45c | 418.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Lynn Vision | 45c | 418.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Lynn Vision | 45c | 418.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Lynn Vision | 45c | 262.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 366 | 44.8%164 W · 202 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ce…e6c8backed Team Falcons | 58c | 212.07$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Lynn Vision | 50c | 179.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 164.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Lynn Vision | 45c | 148.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 114.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 283 | 53.4%151 W · 132 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…80a3backed Team Falcons | 56c | 105.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Lynn Vision | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 591 | 40.4%239 W · 352 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 97.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 261 | 43.3%113 W · 148 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Lynn Vision | 45c | 79.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 64.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Team Falcons | 57c | 56.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed Lynn Vision | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 24.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Team Falcons | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Lynn Vision won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Lynn Vision won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)Lynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.