CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86652469384f1fbd8ca127b6769bba092aefca3d6c9405753d89d55b71f5e911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof Team Falcons, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 12,831$6,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,421.15 | 335 | 52.5%176 W · 159 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Lynn Vision | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Lynn Vision | 49c | 1,485$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.33 | 573 | 36.1%207 W · 366 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 775.76$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.88 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Lynn Vision | 58c | 476.19$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 283 | 53.4%151 W · 132 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Team Falcons | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Lynn Vision | 50c | 375.06$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.53 | 393 | 46.8%184 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 365.06$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.53 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 327.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 499 | 45.9%229 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Team Falcons | 39c | 293.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 670 | 48.1%322 W · 348 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e07…10fcbacked Lynn Vision | 62c | 255.7$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Lynn Vision | 58c | 251.62$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Lynn Vision | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 833 | 46.2%385 W · 448 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Lynn Vision | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Lynn Vision | 55c | 122.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 613 | 41.8%256 W · 357 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…80a3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 91.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 89.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 411 | 50.6%208 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Team Falcons | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Team Falcons | 42c | 47.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…92babacked Team Falcons | 50c | 32.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lynn Vision | 56c | 30.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1,950 | 47.8%932 W · 1,018 L | -50.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Lynn Vision | 56c | 30.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…f4c7backed Team Falcons | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Team Falcons | 41c | 24.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 260 | 34.2%89 W · 171 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Lynn Vision | 68c | 22.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 384 | 41.1%158 W · 226 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45eb…36eebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Lynn Vision won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)Lynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.