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Market

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,529 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba43…c6c0backed Over31c11,082$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,662.564946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked Over20c9,798$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,878.044748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under69c6,663$4,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,629.1318943.4%82 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Over22c4,544$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.5811851.7%61 W · 57 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee46…faa0backed Under72c3,775$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.621136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over30c2,686$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.085,13755%2,826 W · 2,311 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over23c2,571$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.881,67332.7%547 W · 1,126 L-48.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Over25c2,546$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.5769351.9%360 W · 333 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked Under69c2,182$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5066238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked Over31c1,944$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.879369.9%65 W · 28 L+13.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over31c1,935$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.472,04853.8%1,101 W · 947 L+8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dbe…1999backed Under70c1,416$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.67955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under69c1,400$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9594443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Over21c1,400$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10616046.9%75 W · 85 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under69c1,344$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.741,54951.3%795 W · 754 L-11.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over18c1,193$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.812,69130.7%826 W · 1,865 L-110.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Under75c1,190$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.610541.9%44 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over21c952.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.381,33544%588 W · 747 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked Under69c900.72$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.53554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Over29c870.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.014540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under69c862.14$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.8735942.6%153 W · 206 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Over30c815.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.23855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over63c721.96$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.461,38866.3%920 W · 468 L+75.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x415a…cea5backed Under69c652.17$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under69c582.2$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.767048.1%322 W · 348 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Under72c559.99$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.199658.3%56 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over80c548.46$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6926953.9%145 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34041249.3%203 W · 209 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Under68c499.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under67c499.93$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0661341.8%256 W · 357 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…dd56backed Over32c465.63$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.634355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Under68c461.43$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7734940.7%142 W · 207 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over32c435.54$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.272,67451.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L+25.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Under69c418.12$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.539549.9%197 W · 198 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Over24c399.92$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.4459140.4%239 W · 352 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over31c340.74$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.631,74047%817 W · 923 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e03…27bfbacked Under68c338$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.84944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over32c310$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21228246.8%132 W · 150 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1679…e5e1backed Under68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.63762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Over26c299.87$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.911,05139.8%418 W · 633 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under68c292.64$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19911167.6%75 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under68c288$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8487046%400 W · 470 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Over21c269.08$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4511140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under70c244.56$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.1952349.3%258 W · 265 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over25c223.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.383,62429.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L-291.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1367556%42 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13819851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Under68c196.4$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5523752.3%124 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da2…22b6backed Under69c188.41$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13040445.5%184 W · 220 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c47…2e55backed Over43c164.68$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8725147%118 W · 133 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under74c164.2$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.053,99436.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L-207.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Over21c160$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.436648.9%179 W · 187 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Under68c148.77$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1610354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under72c147.88$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.741,95047.8%932 W · 1,018 L-50.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b2c…f0d6backed Under69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed Under73c132.38$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.646847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc877…ef5abacked Over39c128.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.391450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over32c127.76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7610465.4%68 W · 36 L+12.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over21c123.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8117045.3%77 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3109…ff47backed Under69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6918950.3%95 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over37c98.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9483151.6%429 W · 402 L+27.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c8…2313backed Over32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.753053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed Under78c92.75$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.353666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Over22c92.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0439022.1%86 W · 304 L-44.6wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over31c92.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1317047.1%80 W · 90 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under19c87.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.291,16142.2%490 W · 671 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.52,81637.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L-138.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over26c83.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.871,46139.3%574 W · 887 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b23…6b2bbacked Over31c80$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.26553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under68c73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6416437.2%61 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeded…c546backed Under79c70.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.458853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under75c66.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1725650.4%129 W · 127 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under66c65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.92,58534.6%894 W · 1,691 L-200.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Over20c63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.43,31945.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L-87.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.511328.3%32 W · 81 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Over28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.571145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3435043.1%151 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under66c42.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.676945.9%353 W · 416 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under53c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.455,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x59eb…ae8cbacked Over38c40.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.914045%18 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Under76c38.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.266947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under73c38.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288459.5%50 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under53c36.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5836541.6%152 W · 213 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26e…a5ecbacked Under69c34.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.955347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over37c32.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.476748.2%370 W · 397 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2449741.9%208 W · 289 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Under78c29.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6638559.5%229 W · 156 L+1.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5457…ddcabacked Under69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfd…eb36backed Under78c26.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under42c26.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.316043%18 W · 586 L-224.1wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.8%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81,50457.9%871 W · 633 L+65.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6202…c297backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed Under78c19.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5412252.5%64 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc889…a87fbacked Under69c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.356762.7%42 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a7…3172backed Under71c14.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under80c13.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.637549.3%185 W · 190 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.