CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf809aa795a6adb40c07f893abbdffd15774b64e313bfbabfc6b102e9851996f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons | 53c | 5,729$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.89 | 1,042 | 52.5%547 W · 495 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Lynn Vision | 47c | 3,185$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.77 | 393 | 46.8%184 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,709$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.86 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…03d3backed Lynn Vision | 56c | 1,707$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Lynn Vision | 50c | 1,284$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.54 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed Lynn Vision | 48c | 1,224$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.44 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…d784backed Team Falcons | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Lynn Vision | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 573 | 36.1%207 W · 366 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Team Falcons | 43c | 456.48$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.91 | 670 | 48.1%322 W · 348 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 440$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 952 | 45.8%436 W · 516 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Falcons | 45c | 427.59$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.59 | 365 | 44.7%163 W · 202 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e7…a612backed Lynn Vision | 61c | 409.15$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.08 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Team Falcons | 49c | 390.35$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.08 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Lynn Vision | 50c | 390$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 843 | 43.3%365 W · 478 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Lynn Vision | 52c | 373.3$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.65 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Team Falcons | 41c | 371.86$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.17 | 283 | 53.4%151 W · 132 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…de4abacked Lynn Vision | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Lynn Vision | 51c | 250$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Team Falcons | 46c | 219.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Lynn Vision | 48c | 208.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Lynn Vision | 54c | 199.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 591 | 40.4%239 W · 352 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64d…7392backed Lynn Vision | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Lynn Vision | 48c | 199.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 366 | 44.8%164 W · 202 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Lynn Vision | 49c | 180.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 361 | 49.6%179 W · 182 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 170$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Team Falcons | 55c | 154.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 631 | 55.3%349 W · 282 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…ef5abacked Lynn Vision | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 335 | 52.5%176 W · 159 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 110.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…6b0dbacked Lynn Vision | 48c | 103.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Lynn Vision | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Lynn Vision | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 358 | 43%154 W · 204 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Lynn Vision | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Falcons | 49c | 95.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 665 | 46.8%311 W · 354 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Team Falcons | 53c | 91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 669 | 49%328 W · 341 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Lynn Vision | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 589 | 54.2%319 W · 270 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Lynn Vision | 54c | 69.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Lynn Vision | 49c | 60.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons | 49c | 39.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 2,412 | 45.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L | -62.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Lynn Vision | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Lynn Vision | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 342 | 39.5%135 W · 207 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed Lynn Vision | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Lynn Vision | 56c | 26.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 384 | 41.1%158 W · 226 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…6834backed Lynn Vision | 50c | 26.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Team Falcons | 42c | 24.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 260 | 34.2%89 W · 171 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25dd…0034backed Team Falcons | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…d7cdbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Team Falcons | 54c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 878 | 54.3%477 W · 401 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Lynn Vision won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Lynn Vision won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)Lynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.