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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Isurus (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Isurusof Keyd, Isurus
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed Keyd62c5,885$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,651.2171251.7%368 W · 344 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Isurus43c3,719$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.841,05452.6%554 W · 500 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Isurus39c2,400$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45638841.8%162 W · 226 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Keyd57c2,113$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.819660.2%118 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Keyd64c1,601$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.5486758.1%504 W · 363 L+59.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2843…3467backed Isurus33c1,374$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.544080%32 W · 8 L+7.4wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+32.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Isurus36c1,195$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.182,13742%897 W · 1,240 L-48.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Keyd64c1,140$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.791,71053.2%909 W · 801 L+65.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb454…a98cbacked Isurus22c1,118$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.297145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f4…38eebacked Keyd26c1,074$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.692425%6 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Isurus36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64018044.4%80 W · 100 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd46c779.6$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.123,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Keyd78c767.69$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.85552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…e846backed Isurus68c730.82$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Isurus37c647.92$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.7835644.4%158 W · 198 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Isurus35c634.64$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.521,44433.4%482 W · 962 L+39.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Isurus32c634.62$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.5462441.7%260 W · 364 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked Isurus45c622.6$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.664156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Keyd68c600$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40845875.8%347 W · 111 L+25.4wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Isurus37c524.5$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6536744.4%163 W · 204 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Keyd54c506.67$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.2651756.3%291 W · 226 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Isurus37c502.97$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.3714651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Isurus36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3205,95437.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L+77.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189f…f4f3backed Isurus37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3153354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Isurus32c484.67$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.5812253.3%65 W · 57 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Keyd61c476$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.972,50243%1,077 W · 1,425 L-73.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Keyd44c466.48$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1350564.8%327 W · 178 L+59.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Keyd65c426.64$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.451,98442.2%838 W · 1,146 L-74.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd64c425.66$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.864,02236.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L-208.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Isurus36c395.29$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.941,05149%515 W · 536 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed Isurus39c384.89$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6233243.7%145 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Keyd62c375.05$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.597549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Keyd4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516811.3%19 W · 149 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Isurus29c373.17$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.91,70447%801 W · 903 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Isurus59c373$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.877248.6%35 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Keyd49c361.07$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.161,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42cd…2359backed Keyd57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002544%11 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Isurus55c349$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.793,37545.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L-84.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Keyd58c346.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019446.9%91 W · 103 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1508…0648backed Isurus37c328.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.328445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Keyd57c321.65$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.342,44545.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L-66.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed Keyd43c316.92$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5816829.2%49 W · 119 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Keyd64c310.92$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9913869.6%96 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Keyd57c265.81$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5111545.2%52 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Isurus35c260.34$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2214545.5%66 W · 79 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Isurus37c257.85$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4527442.7%117 W · 157 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed Isurus37c248.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.868540%34 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fc…f032backed Keyd62c233.34$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.851747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2119…3378backed Keyd57c230.09$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.151163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Keyd63c225.24$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.582,29343.3%994 W · 1,299 L-70.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Keyd54c215.15$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1881045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Isurus67c210.53$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4880534%274 W · 531 L-51.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Keyd55c209.09$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11523051.3%118 W · 112 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Isurus37c205.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.352952.7%279 W · 250 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Keyd43c195.6$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.622,63434.6%912 W · 1,722 L-204.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3adf…9c7bbacked Keyd58c184.39$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5710168.3%69 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Keyd36c181.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.55,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Isurus40c173.39$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.494,16550.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L+70.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked Keyd70c169$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.33868.4%26 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Isurus67c165.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.391,49652.9%791 W · 705 L+30.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Keyd65c161.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.766554.1%360 W · 305 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd22…bb29backed Keyd65c156.23$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.551450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Keyd65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042555.3%235 W · 190 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Keyd34c148.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0293645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Isurus37c146.51$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312044.2%53 W · 67 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Isurus40c145$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8589051.2%456 W · 434 L-2.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Keyd64c139$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9638650.5%195 W · 191 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf6…52bfbacked Isurus37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.141346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…6122backed Keyd74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Keyd65c114.42$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.378161.7%50 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xece5…6de0backed Isurus44c110$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.614849.3%73 W · 75 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Keyd36c100.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369935.4%35 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Keyd75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7564548.4%312 W · 333 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Isurus36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6437856.9%215 W · 163 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x971f…1e98backed Isurus41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.564753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Keyd45c97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.675,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12b1…b851backed Isurus26c94.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.254119.5%8 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Isurus37c94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5932340.6%131 W · 192 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9266…a9d3backed Keyd64c89.72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4211160.4%67 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Keyd30c89.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7627344.3%121 W · 152 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb7…e9dbbacked Keyd40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323339.4%13 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Keyd56c79.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4543155.5%239 W · 192 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Isurus53c79.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.532,24147.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L-59.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Keyd65c78.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.838253.7%44 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0607…b344backed Keyd65c78.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.785664.3%36 W · 20 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Isurus38c74.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.371,99547.5%948 W · 1,047 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Keyd35c71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.852,82937.7%1,066 W · 1,763 L-138.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36a4…ad72backed Keyd55c70.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.752259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Isurus38c69.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2785051.8%440 W · 410 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Isurus61c69.01$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.721,27954.3%694 W · 585 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Isurus35c68.07$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.291,62929.8%485 W · 1,144 L-90.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Keyd74c67.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506354%34 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x042e…462ebacked Isurus44c60.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.891947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Isurus71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.446038%175 W · 285 L-31.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Keyd65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3951556.5%291 W · 224 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Keyd49c58.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4531247.8%149 W · 163 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b23…6b2bbacked Keyd64c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.28160.5%49 W · 32 L+8.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x903c…02febacked Keyd57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Keyd64c48.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.259964.6%64 W · 35 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadeb…5850backed Keyd72c47.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.235954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.