CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Isurus - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d657c3c8c6dbf2954cac0b5a33b2ae9d028b1692b409c32d3dba748bf597b83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof Keyd, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78f4…38eebacked Isurus | 39c | 1,379$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.57 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…b0f7backed Isurus | 45c | 1,100$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Keyd | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Keyd | 54c | 685.34$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.69 | 2,120 | 41.9%889 W · 1,231 L | -47.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 55c | 571.38$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.27 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Isurus | 45c | 535.86$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.22 | 359 | 42.6%153 W · 206 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Keyd | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 381 | 45.9%175 W · 206 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Isurus | 43c | 413.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.47 | 1,042 | 52.5%547 W · 495 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Keyd | 57c | 376.67$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed Isurus | 56c | 250.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Keyd | 49c | 206.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 261 | 42.9%112 W · 149 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked Keyd | 55c | 199.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Keyd | 55c | 183.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 1,932 | 42.2%815 W · 1,117 L | -69.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Keyd | 57c | 158$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…e825backed Keyd | 54c | 144.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Isurus | 57c | 137.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Isurus | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd | 52c | 130.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Keyd | 77c | 130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 448 | 75.7%339 W · 109 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Isurus | 48c | 125.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 199 | 60.3%120 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc7…2415backed Isurus | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Keyd | 60c | 117.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Isurus | 56c | 107$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Isurus | 42c | 106.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Isurus | 51c | 102.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Keyd | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,441 | 42.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L | -72.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Isurus | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 282 | 48.6%137 W · 145 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Isurus | 45c | 95.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 2,192 | 47.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Keyd | 59c | 93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 2,237 | 43.2%966 W · 1,271 L | -70.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Keyd | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Keyd | 60c | 82.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Isurus | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1,950 | 47.8%932 W · 1,018 L | -50.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Isurus | 53c | 79.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Keyd | 50c | 78.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 326 | 38.3%125 W · 201 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed Keyd | 53c | 67.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 40c | 62.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd | 34c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Keyd | 57c | 58.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 182 | 68.1%124 W · 58 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Keyd | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Keyd | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Isurus | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 1,212 | 54.4%659 W · 553 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Isurus | 60c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 480 | 56.3%270 W · 210 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Keyd | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Isurus | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 638 | 48.4%309 W · 329 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd | 65c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…462ebacked Isurus | 54c | 37.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Isurus | 43c | 29.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,461 | 39.3%574 W · 887 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Keyd | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Keyd | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 705 | 42%296 W · 409 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Keyd | 48c | 26.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 538 | 45.2%243 W · 295 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Keyd | 67c | 25.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Isurus | 51c | 23.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Keyd | 73c | 18.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 472 | 63.6%300 W · 172 L | +51.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Isurus (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.