Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30319f43361246c4e14a514631054ae7b6d13f7c2c4515c52ba95358c205a41f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 51c | 2,494$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.03 | 2,202 | 53.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…2eeabacked Under | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 51c | 1,534$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.65 | 1,548 | 54.8%849 W · 699 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 50c | 1,268$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634 | 1,517 | 50.6%767 W · 750 L | +75.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 49c | 624.49$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Under | 49c | 587.76$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 50c | 578.84$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.18 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked Under | 49c | 550$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Under | 50c | 392$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 49c | 289.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…6122backed Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Over | 40c | 211.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.31 | 1,469 | 43.3%636 W · 833 L | +107.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 329 | 50.5%166 W · 163 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 51c | 196.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 240 | 48.8%117 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6552…baa4backed Over | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Under | 49c | 157.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9e…9d81backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 174 | 63.2%110 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under | 50c | 99.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…a93bbacked Over | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Under | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 201 | 35.3%71 W · 130 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…0c09backed Under | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Over | 52c | 38.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb857…303cbacked Under | 66c | 30.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Under | 50c | 30.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 228 | 57%130 W · 98 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b4…4ab8backed Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)Fnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic - Game 1 WinnerFnatic won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.