Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61411eae775dcdd3b9afba795ec77849f7132f377f15ccb2c7f2dd5509fe33a6

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Fnaticof Team Vitality, Fnatic
Resolved: Aug 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $48,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,359 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7e5e…7315backed Fnatic	68c	28,089$19,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,925.1	134	40.3%54 W · 80 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Vitality	31c	15,000$4,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,650	905	48.4%438 W · 467 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Vitality	33c	8,793$2,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,901.69	991	49.1%487 W · 504 L	+17.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Fnatic	69c	8,000$5,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,480	153	54.2%83 W · 70 L	+8.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Team Vitality	33c	5,761$1,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,887	204	47.1%96 W · 108 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07ae…69e9backed Team Vitality	31c	5,720$1,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,772.02	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Team Vitality	33c	1,770$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.59	431	27.1%117 W · 314 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Fnatic	68c	1,658$1,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.53	657	51.6%339 W · 318 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fnatic	66c	1,197$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.86	1,237	48.1%595 W · 642 L	+25.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Team Vitality	32c	1,164$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.58	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Vitality	32c	937.5$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	828	33.1%274 W · 554 L	-42.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b1…21acbacked Fnatic	68c	787$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.84	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee46…faa0backed Team Vitality	31c	698.43$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.51	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-9.9wins	-0.19per pick	45cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Fnatic	69c	519.58$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.07	382	43.5%166 W · 216 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fnatic	67c	480.37$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.2	3,066	44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L	-97.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Fnatic	66c	449.99$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	245	47.8%117 W · 128 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9f…0eaebacked Team Vitality	34c	449.99$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fnatic	67c	376.68$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.3	1,079	55%593 W · 486 L	+16.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Fnatic	69c	362.32$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.32	662	63%417 W · 245 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Team Vitality	31c	340$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.4	1,137	48.3%549 W · 588 L	+35.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Fnatic	66c	304.57$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.58	1,489	38.4%572 W · 917 L	-44.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Team Vitality	33c	300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+9.4wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Vitality	31c	271.31$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.86	1,666	43.9%732 W · 934 L	-76.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Team Vitality	31c	241.65$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.91	400	51.3%205 W · 195 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Team Vitality	31c	210$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.1	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Team Vitality	31c	200.05$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.24	220	48.6%107 W · 113 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…d56fbacked Fnatic	70c	199.47$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.84	34	73.5%25 W · 9 L	+5.9wins	+0.17per pick	56cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Fnatic	68c	183.01$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.33	352	50.3%177 W · 175 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Team Vitality	31c	182.07$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.11	133	37.6%50 W · 83 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Team Vitality	32c	156.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	129	47.3%61 W · 68 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Fnatic	73c	154.69$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.34	745	41.1%306 W · 439 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Fnatic	64c	152.78$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	498	47.8%238 W · 260 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Vitality	32c	151.75$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.56	2,608	39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L	-84.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed Team Vitality	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	386	44.3%171 W · 215 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed Fnatic	67c	135.21$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.95	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11ca…2737backed Fnatic	65c	123.08$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.08	115	64.3%74 W · 41 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed Fnatic	67c	110$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.3	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Fnatic	67c	95$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.35	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Team Vitality	32c	86$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.52	376	45.5%171 W · 205 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1c…e369backed Team Vitality	32c	72.09$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.07	216	45.8%99 W · 117 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Fnatic	70c	70.99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.33	1,042	54.8%571 W · 471 L	+52.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Fnatic	67c	67.93$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.62	1,213	39.6%480 W · 733 L	-44.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf7…be9bbacked Team Vitality	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	197	44.7%88 W · 109 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e9…39a0backed Team Vitality	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	+6.0wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3769…b797backed Team Vitality	33c	60$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Vitality	26c	58.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.26	2,572	47.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L	-36.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed Fnatic	70c	58.35$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.46	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Team Vitality	33c	53.29$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed Team Vitality	32c	46.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Team Vitality	32c	40$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	634	46.4%294 W · 340 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Fnatic	67c	37.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea6…2d1dbacked Team Vitality	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…e7debacked Fnatic	67c	30.24$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.98	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Team Vitality	34c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	334	50.3%168 W · 166 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Fnatic	66c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	252	55.2%139 W · 113 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1146…a468backed Team Vitality	38c	28.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Fnatic	67c	27.41$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.93	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c3…f821backed Fnatic	73c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.01	70	55.7%39 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)this page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic - Game 1 WinnerFnatic won
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event