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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: OG vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-Zero Tenacityof OG, ex-Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66b1…6b9dbacked OG30c7,102$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.834311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-13%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked OG50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50076856.9%437 W · 331 L+49.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity57c2,025$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8678357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked ex-Zero Tenacity58c1,926$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.473868.4%26 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4959…f2d0backed OG47c1,376$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.646063.3%38 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed ex-Zero Tenacity74c766.35$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2510060%60 W · 40 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity76c688.83$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9242644.4%189 W · 237 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed ex-Zero Tenacity56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.272,50044.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L-67.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity58c450.41$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.338,13350.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L+169.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity48c437.82$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.815,95437.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L+77.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked OG44c402.11$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.541,05452.6%554 W · 500 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0271…4099backed ex-Zero Tenacity79c381.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…6731backed ex-Zero Tenacity79c381.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.951275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd60…6122backed ex-Zero Tenacity79c381.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.95850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed ex-Zero Tenacity50c340.39$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4450564.8%327 W · 178 L+59.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x344d…fd5bbacked OG30c339.76$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.931921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked OG14c321.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.433,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed ex-Zero Tenacity62c300.2$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.291,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-Zero Tenacity51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.351,98442.2%838 W · 1,146 L-74.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed ex-Zero Tenacity41c260.53$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7159039.3%232 W · 358 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ex-Zero Tenacity57c235.94$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.352,29343.3%994 W · 1,299 L-70.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed OG46c219.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1935751%182 W · 175 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ex-Zero Tenacity56c213.05$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.752,74947.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L-37.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-Zero Tenacity59c203.92$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.621,14354.9%628 W · 515 L+42.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed OG51c200.56$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8581045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed ex-Zero Tenacity58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846660.6%40 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed OG30c189.85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9658037.8%219 W · 361 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed ex-Zero Tenacity76c187.82$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5223450%117 W · 117 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed OG29c175.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.261,20642%506 W · 700 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity69c160$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.31,49652.9%791 W · 705 L+30.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked OG35c134.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7593645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503,37545.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L-84.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity76c98.46$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6311856.8%67 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed ex-Zero Tenacity50c97.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7812257.4%70 W · 52 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed ex-Zero Tenacity77c93.58$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.946442.2%27 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked OG33c83.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.712,24147.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L-59.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked OG43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.112,50243%1,077 W · 1,425 L-73.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed ex-Zero Tenacity50c78.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0233138.7%128 W · 203 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked OG63c74.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,71352.2%895 W · 818 L-75.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-Zero Tenacity57c72.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.262,69752.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L+30.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed ex-Zero Tenacity69c71.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.415644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed ex-Zero Tenacity73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity52c67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.224,02236.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L-208.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed OG67c66.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed ex-Zero Tenacity76c56.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5964548.4%312 W · 333 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity74c52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.572,82937.7%1,066 W · 1,763 L-138.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked ex-Zero Tenacity62c46.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.793271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked ex-Zero Tenacity73c43.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9619767.5%133 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked OG34c43.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.844,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed OG43c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0613133.6%44 W · 87 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-Zero Tenacity52c41.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.015,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed OG35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453749.2%264 W · 273 L-27.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed ex-Zero Tenacity52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.287850%39 W · 39 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x042e…462ebacked OG38c34.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed ex-Zero Tenacity46c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7725450.8%129 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity58c27.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.655,70747.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L+45.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked OG50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,27954.3%694 W · 585 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked OG42c26.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2430138.2%115 W · 186 L-17.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed ex-Zero Tenacity53c26.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5856948.9%278 W · 291 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed ex-Zero Tenacity73c24.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7310046%46 W · 54 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66a6…f22bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity68c23.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.66858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked OG47c22.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6888954.4%484 W · 405 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed ex-Zero Tenacity53c22.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.661968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x395a…eb72backed OG56c22.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2812375.6%93 W · 30 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+10.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed ex-Zero Tenacity68c15.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7917360.7%105 W · 68 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.