CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OG vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb56f9aba25022a884f8fe18965afa1fb89f329e712e78dcaaf180fa3a905403
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof OG, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 67c | 3,238$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.73 | 334 | 49.1%164 W · 170 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked OG | 52c | 1,471$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.16 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 1,469$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.47 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 899.98$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.99 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 49c | 600.29$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.77 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed OG | 41c | 500$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.51 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…ff46backed OG | 16c | 495.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -70%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed OG | 45c | 422.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked OG | 44c | 406.24$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.75 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 35c | 227.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed OG | 47c | 223.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 65c | 208.62$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked OG | 45c | 199.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed OG | 47c | 174.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed OG | 34c | 173.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OG | 54c | 173.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 1,143 | 54.9%628 W · 515 L | +42.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OG | 35c | 165.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked OG | 55c | 150.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 742 | 51.1%379 W · 363 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 75c | 145.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed OG | 36c | 139.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 61c | 131.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 122.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked OG | 38c | 115.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed OG | 61c | 109.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…ed50backed OG | 45c | 103.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed OG | 19c | 100.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 378 | 45.5%172 W · 206 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…2200backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 91.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked OG | 35c | 91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed OG | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed OG | 32c | 76.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 793 | 46.4%368 W · 425 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 69.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…c88bbacked OG | 54c | 69.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked OG | 55c | 58.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 197 | 67.5%133 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked OG | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…c1a9backed OG | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed OG | 54c | 40.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed OG | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 73c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…881bbacked OG | 58c | 23.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 443 | 73.6%326 W · 117 L | +43.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OG vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: OG vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Playoffsex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: OG vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5)ex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.