Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2921ed514858ae70c1ac395676d89e57fedb1d6794e2c6d228d3336b7f8c61f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HANJIN BRIONof BNK FEARX, HANJIN BRION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69b…2076backed HANJIN BRION | 45c | 14,273$6,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,802.43 | 745 | 41.1%306 W · 439 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…0d47backed BNK FEARX | 37c | 10,000$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.65 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 5,893$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 1,026 | 47.9%491 W · 535 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HANJIN BRION | 63c | 2,684$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.85 | 1,489 | 38.4%572 W · 917 L | -44.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed HANJIN BRION | 63c | 2,485$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.9 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…e059backed HANJIN BRION | 45c | 2,468$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…4099backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BNK FEARX | 51c | 863.53$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.11 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…6122backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed HANJIN BRION | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 674 | 59.8%403 W · 271 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked BNK FEARX | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 498 | 47.8%238 W · 260 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,206 | 44.7%539 W · 667 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HANJIN BRION | 59c | 490$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 2,572 | 47.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L | -36.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…af42backed HANJIN BRION | 64c | 465.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.48 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed HANJIN BRION | 50c | 373.07$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.03 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…e18ebacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed BNK FEARX | 37c | 345.94$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 275 | 28.7%79 W · 196 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked HANJIN BRION | 65c | 310.29$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…315ebacked BNK FEARX | 38c | 305.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed HANJIN BRION | 63c | 296$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 1,666 | 43.9%732 W · 934 L | -76.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked BNK FEARX | 41c | 231.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 827 | 42.9%355 W · 472 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked BNK FEARX | 38c | 111$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 591 | 34.2%202 W · 389 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab53…f5b2backed BNK FEARX | 39c | 108.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked BNK FEARX | 38c | 107.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed HANJIN BRION | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,299 | 42.6%553 W · 746 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked HANJIN BRION | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 352 | 50.3%177 W · 175 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked BNK FEARX | 36c | 93.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 1,079 | 44.9%485 W · 594 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BNK FEARX | 37c | 76.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed HANJIN BRION | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,398 | 49.4%691 W · 707 L | -20.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc1…99bbbacked BNK FEARX | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked HANJIN BRION | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed HANJIN BRION | 63c | 43.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1,353 | 38.6%522 W · 831 L | -68.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…c1a9backed HANJIN BRION | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked HANJIN BRION | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…f625backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 393 | 52.7%207 W · 186 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed HANJIN BRION | 44c | 30.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb857…303cbacked BNK FEARX | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…9195backed HANJIN BRION | 77c | 26.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked HANJIN BRION | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed HANJIN BRION | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 275 | 49.8%137 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed BNK FEARX | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BRO (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-InBNK FEARX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.