Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29983ec9b94d80344266dd123b0a9d5ecd69bf365d095df706873e7094ba2731
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof HANJIN BRION, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed HANJIN BRION | 31c | 1,021$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.62 | 254 | 37%94 W · 160 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed HANJIN BRION | 26c | 839$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.7 | 1,313 | 26.4%346 W · 967 L | +63.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BNK FEARX | 62c | 726.6$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.58 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BNK FEARX | 75c | 706.09$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.01 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…370abacked HANJIN BRION | 47c | 409.95$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed HANJIN BRION | 30c | 400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed BNK FEARX | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked HANJIN BRION | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 474 | 52.1%247 W · 227 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed BNK FEARX | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 996 | 50.2%500 W · 496 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 650 | 50.5%328 W · 322 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed BNK FEARX | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 274 | 41.2%113 W · 161 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked HANJIN BRION | 18c | 164.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…f280backed HANJIN BRION | 17c | 117.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BNK FEARX | 69c | 95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 1,412 | 44.8%633 W · 779 L | -15.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed BNK FEARX | 69c | 95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 1,206 | 44.7%539 W · 667 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked BNK FEARX | 61c | 82.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 352 | 50.3%177 W · 175 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked HANJIN BRION | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 591 | 34.2%202 W · 389 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed BNK FEARX | 70c | 68.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed HANJIN BRION | 24c | 58.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…0913backed BNK FEARX | 51c | 48.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…16e6backed HANJIN BRION | 33c | 45.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked BNK FEARX | 67c | 40.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 498 | 47.8%238 W · 260 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed BNK FEARX | 78c | 37.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked BNK FEARX | 70c | 36.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1,079 | 44.9%485 W · 594 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…e5dbbacked BNK FEARX | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: BRO (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-InBNK FEARX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.