Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aa82b3cbffbf763f6780927aa1b37ed2adec77482503567abbf8689b7e761a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1660…5598backed Over | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.06 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 26c | 6,648$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.77 | 1,489 | 38.4%572 W · 917 L | -44.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 25c | 4,644$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.94 | 745 | 41.1%306 W · 439 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…ec35backed Under | 25c | 1,505$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.36 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 75c | 553.04$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 502 | 46.2%232 W · 270 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…2c34backed Over | 73c | 499.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 74c | 441$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 485 | 49.9%242 W · 243 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6552…baa4backed Over | 75c | 415.41$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked Over | 74c | 401.55$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -15.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 78c | 375$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 70c | 322.89$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.87 | 292 | 43.5%127 W · 165 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Over | 74c | 271.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 228 | 57%130 W · 98 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…acbbbacked Over | 74c | 268.92$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 75c | 250.16$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 1,666 | 43.9%732 W · 934 L | -76.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2,572 | 47.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L | -36.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Under | 29c | 171.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 274 | 41.2%113 W · 161 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…3d01backed Over | 74c | 168.56$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 194 | 66.5%129 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 26c | 128.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 26c | 128.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 352 | 50.3%177 W · 175 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 71c | 110.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 657 | 51.6%339 W · 318 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 26c | 109$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 827 | 42.9%355 W · 472 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Over | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 591 | 34.2%202 W · 389 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 419 | 41.3%173 W · 246 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 26c | 56.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1,398 | 49.4%691 W · 707 L | -20.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 74c | 45.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1,383 | 47.4%655 W · 728 L | -35.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 40.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 74c | 39.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,213 | 39.6%480 W · 733 L | -44.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 77c | 38.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…a610backed Over | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…6eadbacked Over | 74c | 32.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Over | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…8b63backed Over | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…6431backed Over | 75c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…d80dbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…6630backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -12.4wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Over | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…fe6bbacked Over | 78c | 17.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed Over | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 279 | 55.6%155 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 550 | 54.9%302 W · 248 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BRO (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-InBNK FEARX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.