Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8925987c98626b5936109132b2e962c2ce8241f5f925114bd2fbd3ffcfafa73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HANJIN BRIONof BNK FEARX, HANJIN BRION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c29…167ebacked BNK FEARX | 32c | 20,000$6,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,379.57 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked HANJIN BRION | 68c | 17,972$12,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,751.04 | 334 | 55.4%185 W · 149 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…a875backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 2,144$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.52 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked HANJIN BRION | 69c | 1,998$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.38 | 800 | 49.9%399 W · 401 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked HANJIN BRION | 69c | 1,644$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -12.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…0d47backed BNK FEARX | 25c | 890.15$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.54 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed HANJIN BRION | 73c | 859.89$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.76 | 745 | 41.1%306 W · 439 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BNK FEARX | 26c | 715.59$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.11 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed HANJIN BRION | 72c | 487.57$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.29 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed HANJIN BRION | 70c | 468.57$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 394 | 48%189 W · 205 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed HANJIN BRION | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…4099backed HANJIN BRION | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked BNK FEARX | 33c | 263.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 827 | 42.9%355 W · 472 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 259.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 1,489 | 38.4%572 W · 917 L | -44.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BNK FEARX | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2,572 | 47.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L | -36.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed BNK FEARX | 19c | 154$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed HANJIN BRION | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked BNK FEARX | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed BNK FEARX | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed HANJIN BRION | 71c | 98.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 692 | 53.5%370 W · 322 L | -22.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked HANJIN BRION | 70c | 83.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 352 | 50.3%177 W · 175 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed BNK FEARX | 19c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed HANJIN BRION | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed HANJIN BRION | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…4079backed HANJIN BRION | 69c | 49.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked HANJIN BRION | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked BNK FEARX | 26c | 38.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed HANJIN BRION | 75c | 27.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BRO (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-InBNK FEARX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.