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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof LOUD, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,057,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,072,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,057,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed FURIA Esports45c1,000,000$449,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449,996.25757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed LOUD55c835,458$459,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375,956.25887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.47per pick41cpaid+142.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOUD55c100,000$55,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,00019146.6%89 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed LOUD55c20,080$11,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,056.6857157.8%330 W · 241 L+36.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD55c19,148$10,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,649.8554055.4%299 W · 241 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed LOUD69c8,761$6,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.246944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD55c8,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.971,42851.2%731 W · 697 L+48.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA Esports53c4,905$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.484841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed LOUD54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.072259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA Esports45c3,570$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.891,28432.1%412 W · 872 L-67.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed FURIA Esports46c2,985$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.527746.2%128 W · 149 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked LOUD52c2,141$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.0178862.8%495 W · 293 L+56.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked LOUD53c2,103$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.231776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LOUD47c2,026$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.9694349.5%467 W · 476 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed LOUD55c1,909$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked LOUD55c1,573$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.381450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed LOUD65c1,529$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.485151%26 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked LOUD55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67514141.1%58 W · 83 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed LOUD55c1,385$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.256053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3d…8554backed LOUD72c1,165$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed LOUD55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.916556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed LOUD55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.913053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked LOUD55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.911163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed LOUD51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4906154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA Esports30c874.78$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4990244.3%400 W · 502 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed FURIA Esports54c819.42$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.784235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA Esports43c780$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.791,61437.5%605 W · 1,009 L-75.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0969…cd12backed LOUD54c734.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1031…2febbacked LOUD55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…6122backed LOUD55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed LOUD64c714.45$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4247446.8%222 W · 252 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd8…d64cbacked LOUD65c610.4$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…6731backed LOUD54c550.51$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked LOUD55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.451258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…35fcbacked LOUD55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0271…4099backed LOUD55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f6…25a1backed FURIA Esports35c526.41$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed LOUD55c505.45$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.455152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked LOUD61c490.62$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6197445.1%439 W · 535 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ed…cd23backed LOUD68c448.73$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed FURIA Esports52c417$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8423155.4%128 W · 103 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked LOUD47c415.16$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.541,26149.6%625 W · 636 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed FURIA Esports51c395.75$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6826255%144 W · 118 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked LOUD48c375$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1729342.3%124 W · 169 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked LOUD72c372.65$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.931,31843.9%578 W · 740 L-44.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports48c371.89$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4993848%450 W · 488 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d66…ff1dbacked LOUD55c371.36$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.021450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked LOUD55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6411845.8%54 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b7…452fbacked LOUD55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked LOUD55c330.18$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.581752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FURIA Esports19c320.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4341445.7%189 W · 225 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed LOUD48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.517633.5%59 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked FURIA Esports11c306.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.957345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x672c…881bbacked LOUD55c304.69$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed LOUD70c297.39$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.448881.8%72 W · 16 L+11.1wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+19%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed FURIA Esports52c288.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-62.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD76c285.04$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.111,74846.2%808 W · 940 L-2.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LOUD79c269$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.951,61945.1%730 W · 889 L-25.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b79…4742backed FURIA Esports53c263.4$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed FURIA Esports50c259$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.510642.5%45 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FURIA Esports49c256.82$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0439751.1%203 W · 194 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed FURIA Esports61c252.79$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15411746.2%54 W · 63 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…d31dbacked FURIA Esports14c247.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.471729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9247…7789backed LOUD51c236.89$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked FURIA Esports49c232.23$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7926142.9%112 W · 149 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…22acbacked FURIA Esports34c225.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed FURIA Esports49c205.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035457.3%203 W · 151 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6457…ed50backed LOUD51c203.1$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3f5…33d0backed LOUD51c203.1$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed LOUD70c199.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FURIA Esports15c189.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6282435%288 W · 536 L-61.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed LOUD55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+83.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77f1…e320backed FURIA Esports54c177.56$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.882060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed LOUD59c177.25$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.11,50346.5%699 W · 804 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked LOUD62c177$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4379044.3%350 W · 440 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7585…dcb3backed LOUD55c175$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed FURIA Esports30c171.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x083c…65f2backed LOUD66c151$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked FURIA Esports33c150.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018343.2%79 W · 104 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed FURIA Esports54c138.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.793554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked FURIA Esports15c128.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4410746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed FURIA Esports8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033946.3%157 W · 182 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked LOUD55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed LOUD47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.388053.8%43 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FURIA Esports10c100.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1244741.8%187 W · 260 L-23.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed FURIA Esports46c100.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8641346.5%192 W · 221 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6423…6c2bbacked FURIA Esports18c97.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa7…1323backed LOUD73c94.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.411580%12 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed LOUD54c91.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed LOUD55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked LOUD55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked LOUD47c89.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3635155%193 W · 158 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed LOUD55c88.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3596…d91cbacked LOUD55c81.72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.788471.4%60 W · 24 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed LOUD55c79.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed FURIA Esports19c78.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522457.6%129 W · 95 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked LOUD55c78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.13863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed LOUD47c67.13$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5819334.7%67 W · 126 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c66…088cbacked LOUD52c61.19$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.191030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-51.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed FURIA Esports26c58.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1621155.5%117 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.