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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof LOUD, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa22b…3525backed LOUD62c5,220$3,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.912356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA Esports40c4,701$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.335444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked FURIA Esports42c3,938$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.861735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb132…6b5ebacked LOUD59c2,564$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed LOUD64c2,267$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.865453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed LOUD53c2,207$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.9953659.1%317 W · 219 L+41.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports40c1,930$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.4694648.1%455 W · 491 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA Esports52c1,847$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.8554555.4%302 W · 243 L+24.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FURIA Esports35c1,539$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.2342146.1%194 W · 227 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed LOUD59c1,350$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.2413955.4%77 W · 62 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed FURIA Esports35c1,281$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked LOUD56c1,204$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7352444.7%234 W · 290 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed FURIA Esports42c1,200$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.975641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed LOUD50c1,156$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.292962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed LOUD59c1,125$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.351266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked FURIA Esports51c1,101$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.573246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports38c1,071$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.0857757.7%333 W · 244 L+35.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed LOUD47c1,068$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.833245.5%151 W · 181 L+52.7wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+38.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed LOUD58c1,050$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.616154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FURIA Esports40c992.8$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3679662.3%496 W · 300 L+54.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA Esports48c768.72$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.611,29432.4%419 W · 875 L-65.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed LOUD58c749.99$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.525746.7%120 W · 137 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked FURIA Esports42c691.1$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.267444.6%33 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a97…7a1bbacked LOUD47c632.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.093577.1%27 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed FURIA Esports43c600$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2574235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d66…ff1dbacked LOUD61c589.05$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.731546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed LOUD59c549.05$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2648747%229 W · 258 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed LOUD61c533.41$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.41757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5266…22acbacked FURIA Esports34c513.6$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed FURIA Esports40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018949.2%93 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked FURIA Esports44c455.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed FURIA Esports13c455.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2761622.7%140 W · 476 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked FURIA Esports47c427.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA Esports40c372.36$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5990744.4%403 W · 504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed LOUD52c339.98$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.796357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d25…0f79backed LOUD58c326.61$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.612766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed FURIA Esports41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff6b…e45fbacked LOUD50c292.26$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+66.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FURIA Esports25c285.16$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.526236.3%95 W · 167 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed FURIA Esports46c266$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3629045.2%131 W · 159 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed LOUD57c263.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0317733.9%60 W · 117 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked LOUD54c251.73$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.718354.2%45 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed LOUD53c251.73$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1619443.8%85 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb23e…829abacked FURIA Esports50c251.04$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.591442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9135…8d9cbacked FURIA Esports34c246$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FURIA Esports37c240.35$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.71,27149.6%630 W · 641 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed FURIA Esports42c238.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003850%19 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LOUD79c224.51$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1295849.6%475 W · 483 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked LOUD71c220$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4640551.9%210 W · 195 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54bc…b4e9backed FURIA Esports35c217.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FURIA Esports67c213.58$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7855442.2%234 W · 320 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…fa54backed LOUD54c210.6$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf102…7ae7backed LOUD57c206.47$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked LOUD52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked LOUD47c199.77$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.436053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f15…7691backed FURIA Esports25c196$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3c…1f3ebacked LOUD52c193.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed LOUD57c188.54$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0712245.9%56 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb361…7348backed LOUD64c184.95$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.95757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FURIA Esports34c178.92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.131,32943.6%580 W · 749 L-47.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA Esports38c166.8$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.841,37539%536 W · 839 L-59.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports57c159.27$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7566059.5%393 W · 267 L+51.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0192…ba59backed FURIA Esports44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FURIA Esports39c154.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.691,51746.6%707 W · 810 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed LOUD49c152.09$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.094250%21 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd8…d64cbacked LOUD60c151.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked LOUD55c150$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6818439.7%73 W · 111 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed LOUD60c148.1$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5542747.1%201 W · 226 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3596…d91cbacked LOUD72c138.16$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.168670.9%61 W · 25 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe02f…e825backed LOUD60c136.27$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.711384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x015f…d051backed FURIA Esports42c133.4$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.032250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…d609backed LOUD61c129.71$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.713767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked LOUD59c128.81$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8135956%201 W · 158 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed FURIA Esports48c123$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f1…e320backed FURIA Esports54c120.87$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.682060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked FURIA Esports42c115.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked LOUD80c110.1$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4739648.5%192 W · 204 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked LOUD79c110$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.211945.4%54 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FURIA Esports35c108.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8292933.2%308 W · 621 L-91.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked FURIA Esports40c108$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8897645.2%441 W · 535 L-18.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceae…8e45backed FURIA Esports38c100.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.061855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed LOUD73c100.01$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278161.7%50 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed FURIA Esports50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed FURIA Esports41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FURIA Esports38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2983335.2%293 W · 540 L-60.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed LOUD57c99.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9921155.5%117 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed FURIA Esports44c99.54$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.195749.1%28 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed FURIA Esports41c90.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3719434.5%67 W · 127 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caa…c16cbacked FURIA Esports42c86.12$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.17837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d90…2512backed LOUD47c84.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.091040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed LOUD45c80.4$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.845317%9 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-54.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked LOUD77c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.441355.2%228 W · 185 L+19.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA Esports33c75.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.91,61937.5%607 W · 1,012 L-75.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf08e…1256backed LOUD43c75.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.242450%12 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked FURIA Esports45c74.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.597138%27 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked LOUD78c68.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.074944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked LOUD48c68.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.274546.7%21 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x903c…02febacked LOUD59c66.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports37c64.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8268758.4%401 W · 286 L+56.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked FURIA Esports40c60.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9159150.8%300 W · 291 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.