Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f1370c3ced1a55b7cc0491edae1adc0f9709802430780d1145f28b4cf547575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shiftersof Shifters, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $859,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $936,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $859,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Team Heretics | 0c | 239,079$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Team Heretics | 0c | 99,488$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.06 | 358 | 36.9%132 W · 226 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Team Heretics | 56c | 39,008$21,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,869.95 | 921 | 43.4%400 W · 521 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…1681backed Team Heretics | 0c | 35,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Team Heretics | 4c | 33,133$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.2 | 1,549 | 62.8%972 W · 577 L | +161.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c29…167ebacked Team Heretics | 54c | 33,031$17,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,679.07 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Shifters | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Shifters | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 179 | 59.2%106 W · 73 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…8c62backed Team Heretics | 0c | 12,954$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shifters | 45c | 10,037$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,563.68 | 1,022 | 42.4%433 W · 589 L | -26.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…5ad0backed Team Heretics | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Heretics | 23c | 8,836$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.78 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Shifters | 51c | 8,541$4,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.87 | 875 | 42.7%374 W · 501 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Heretics | 56c | 8,200$4,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592 | 1,613 | 53.8%868 W · 745 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Team Heretics | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.96 | 602 | 57.6%347 W · 255 L | +24.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Shifters | 41c | 7,114$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.26 | 825 | 43.3%357 W · 468 L | +29.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Shifters | 46c | 7,000$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810 | 1,318 | 45.4%598 W · 720 L | +52.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Heretics | 56c | 6,565$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.61 | 1,485 | 61.3%910 W · 575 L | -21.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shifters | 45c | 6,043$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.19 | 1,618 | 42.3%685 W · 933 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Shifters | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Shifters | 65c | 5,987$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.86 | 1,609 | 55.4%892 W · 717 L | +84.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Shifters | 45c | 5,772$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.74 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…a875backed Shifters | 48c | 5,152$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.12 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Shifters | 61c | 5,000$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.63 | 1,030 | 47%484 W · 546 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Heretics | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 938 | 53.9%506 W · 432 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Shifters | 44c | 4,986$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.2 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Shifters | 43c | 4,852$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.95 | 874 | 36.6%320 W · 554 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Team Heretics | 49c | 4,766$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.29 | 293 | 51.2%150 W · 143 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Team Heretics | 34c | 4,645$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.76 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Heretics | 56c | 4,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 1,466 | 57.6%844 W · 622 L | +38.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Shifters | 43c | 3,297$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.26 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Team Heretics | 40c | 3,261$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.86 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Shifters | 41c | 3,181$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.77 | 526 | 46.4%244 W · 282 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Shifters | 67c | 3,120$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.4 | 293 | 59%173 W · 120 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Shifters | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 1,340 | 53.2%713 W · 627 L | +38.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Shifters | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Heretics | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 1,089 | 47.3%515 W · 574 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…15babacked Shifters | 49c | 2,997$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.21 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Heretics | 50c | 2,945$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.69 | 1,642 | 40.2%660 W · 982 L | +48.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Team Heretics | 40c | 2,830$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.1 | 373 | 58.7%219 W · 154 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Team Heretics | 12c | 2,700$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.99 | 431 | 27.1%117 W · 314 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…b109backed Shifters | 43c | 2,656$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.83 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Heretics | 58c | 2,586$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.18 | 1,102 | 53.8%593 W · 509 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Heretics | 31c | 2,517$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.47 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Team Heretics | 42c | 2,500$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.8 | 1,236 | 48.5%600 W · 636 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Shifters | 42c | 2,460$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.8 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Team Heretics | 2c | 2,400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 589 | 3.6%21 W · 568 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +176%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Heretics | 58c | 2,325$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.4 | 581 | 44.9%261 W · 320 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Shifters | 45c | 2,289$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.89 | 991 | 49.1%487 W · 504 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Shifters | 58c | 2,262$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.76 | 487 | 57.7%281 W · 206 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Shifters | 41c | 2,195$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.12 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shifters | 44c | 2,141$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.82 | 2,385 | 32.1%765 W · 1,620 L | +44.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Team Heretics | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 357 | 51.5%184 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed Team Heretics | 57c | 2,000$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.56 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fa…907fbacked Team Heretics | 4c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 116 | 20.7%24 W · 92 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed Shifters | 50c | 1,992$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.49 | 236 | 60.6%143 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…77d3backed Team Heretics | 56c | 1,991$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…02e5backed Shifters | 72c | 1,958$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.75 | 373 | 48.5%181 W · 192 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Shifters | 52c | 1,910$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.31 | 383 | 44.4%170 W · 213 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Heretics | 53c | 1,891$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed Shifters | 75c | 1,860$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.86 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Heretics | 54c | 1,844$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 770 | 39.6%305 W · 465 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Heretics | 58c | 1,812$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.02 | 903 | 43.9%396 W · 507 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Team Heretics | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,042 | 47.7%497 W · 545 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Team Heretics | 45c | 1,796$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.66 | 194 | 43.8%85 W · 109 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Team Heretics | 53c | 1,794$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…9536backed Team Heretics | 56c | 1,748$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6b5ebacked Team Heretics | 54c | 1,624$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.02 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…e214backed Shifters | 48c | 1,612$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.81 | 277 | 61.4%170 W · 107 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Heretics | 58c | 1,591$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.78 | 1,239 | 54.5%675 W · 564 L | +51.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Heretics | 2c | 1,552$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 798 | 9.6%77 W · 721 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Heretics | 31c | 1,527$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.21 | 1,213 | 39.6%480 W · 733 L | -44.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Heretics | 28c | 1,501$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.07 | 1,076 | 28.4%306 W · 770 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked Team Heretics | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 47.8%172 W · 188 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Team Heretics | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Shifters | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.41 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Shifters | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.41 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Team Heretics | 57c | 1,400$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 418 | 63.2%264 W · 154 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked Team Heretics | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Heretics | 49c | 1,381$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.38 | 923 | 49.9%461 W · 462 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…d575backed Shifters | 42c | 1,309$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.35 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked Team Heretics | 1c | 1,300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 440 | 2.5%11 W · 429 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Team Heretics | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…bd58backed Shifters | 60c | 1,248$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.14 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…86bcbacked Team Heretics | 57c | 1,201$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Shifters | 45c | 1,193$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.83 | 228 | 57%130 W · 98 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Heretics | 58c | 1,189$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.51 | 1,324 | 55.7%738 W · 586 L | +43.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Heretics | 43c | 1,168$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 526 | 52.7%277 W · 249 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Heretics | 50c | 1,125$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.8 | 3,206 | 34%1,089 W · 2,117 L | -150.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked Team Heretics | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Shifters | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Team Heretics | 37c | 1,000$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Shifters | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 220 | 46.8%103 W · 117 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Team Heretics | 3c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 727 | 15.1%110 W · 617 L | -32.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Team Heretics | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 849 | 60.8%516 W · 333 L | +45.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Shifters | 59c | 981.97$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.97 | 295 | 66.1%195 W · 100 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c817backed Shifters | 78c | 960.46$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked Team Heretics | 56c | 933.93$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Shifters | 46c | 900$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Heretics | 60c | 863.35$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.42 | 1,383 | 47.4%655 W · 728 L | -35.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonShifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerShifters won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.