Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb03f0c6adb57400b859fca8204c66b161b23a3c77db623a0515b0da2f5fb2ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 48c | 3,352$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.01 | 485 | 49.9%242 W · 243 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 52c | 2,840$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.19 | 1,548 | 54.8%849 W · 699 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 55c | 1,247$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.27 | 228 | 65.8%150 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 55c | 922.57$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.73 | 1,194 | 65.9%787 W · 407 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Over | 43c | 736.17$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.26 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…4841backed Over | 55c | 422.9$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5f…2081backed Over | 55c | 422.86$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 61c | 390.12$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 370$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 591 | 34.2%202 W · 389 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 52c | 291.57$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 2,202 | 53.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 54c | 286.61$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 32c | 269$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 2,279 | 33%753 W · 1,526 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 47c | 262.55$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 657 | 51.6%339 W · 318 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…dc59backed Over | 50c | 259.59$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 252$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 247.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 2,359 | 39.2%925 W · 1,434 L | -89.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 242.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 2,088 | 30.6%639 W · 1,449 L | -176.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c4…b477backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Under | 51c | 188.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 228 | 57%130 W · 98 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 46c | 172.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 38c | 150.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 3,206 | 34%1,089 W · 2,117 L | -150.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 36c | 139.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 1,150 | 30.9%355 W · 795 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 38c | 132.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 50c | 126.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 368 | 44.6%164 W · 204 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 51c | 123.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 352 | 50.3%177 W · 175 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…2d13backed Under | 54c | 92.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 533 | 52.5%280 W · 253 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 40c | 86.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 312 | 46.2%144 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 313 | 31.6%99 W · 214 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 53c | 69.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 1,666 | 43.9%732 W · 934 L | -76.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 1,206 | 44.7%539 W · 667 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 39c | 51.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 310 | 42.9%133 W · 177 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Under | 56c | 49.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 53c | 44.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2,745 | 35.9%986 W · 1,759 L | -155.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,383 | 47.4%655 W · 728 L | -35.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…f280backed Over | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 40c | 33.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 419 | 41.3%173 W · 246 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 51c | 33.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 1,079 | 44.9%485 W · 594 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 411 | 43.8%180 W · 231 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,494 | 43.6%651 W · 843 L | -31.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 243 | 45.3%110 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 195 | 39%76 W · 119 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonShifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerShifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerShifters won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.