Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15207a142a6c72013bd78c3f91e6312750660f5f4e28c3f7446454848416f35b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shiftersof Shifters, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $494,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $532,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9a2…77d3backed Shifters | 52c | 114,849$59,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,496.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Team Heretics | 50c | 30,000$14,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,992.62 | 921 | 43.4%400 W · 521 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Team Heretics | 55c | 27,161$14,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,892.54 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c29…167ebacked Team Heretics | 44c | 16,832$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.51 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Team Heretics | 46c | 15,660$7,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,265.64 | 293 | 51.2%150 W · 143 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Heretics | 48c | 13,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Team Heretics | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 602 | 57.6%347 W · 255 L | +24.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Team Heretics | 45c | 11,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.51 | 1,030 | 47%484 W · 546 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Shifters | 59c | 10,565$6,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.95 | 2,028 | 58.2%1,180 W · 848 L | +88.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shifters | 55c | 10,428$5,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,685.16 | 1,549 | 62.8%972 W · 577 L | +161.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Shifters | 78c | 10,108$7,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.51 | 730 | 59.7%436 W · 294 L | +79.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Team Heretics | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400.12 | 179 | 59.2%106 W · 73 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed Shifters | 49c | 10,000$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,069.04 | 530 | 47.9%254 W · 276 L | +25.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…5ad0backed Shifters | 49c | 9,782$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,988.96 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Heretics | 48c | 9,375$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 526 | 46.4%244 W · 282 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Shifters | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 1,318 | 45.4%598 W · 720 L | +52.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Heretics | 49c | 8,885$4,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.56 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Heretics | 38c | 7,458$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.1 | 1,022 | 42.4%433 W · 589 L | -26.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…a875backed Shifters | 54c | 7,396$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.85 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Heretics | 41c | 6,236$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.65 | 1,618 | 42.3%685 W · 933 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Shifters | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 1,466 | 57.6%844 W · 622 L | +38.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Team Heretics | 17c | 5,555$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.35 | 513 | 44.2%227 W · 286 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Shifters | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.99 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Heretics | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,177 | 49.4%581 W · 596 L | -16.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Shifters | 56c | 4,787$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.72 | 825 | 43.3%357 W · 468 L | +29.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Heretics | 51c | 4,170$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.7 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…d05abacked Shifters | 72c | 4,167$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 233 | 67.8%158 W · 75 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Heretics | 50c | 4,151$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.19 | 903 | 43.9%396 W · 507 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Team Heretics | 47c | 4,066$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.58 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Heretics | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 938 | 53.9%506 W · 432 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…1681backed Team Heretics | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…bd58backed Team Heretics | 25c | 3,865$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.02 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Team Heretics | 42c | 3,803$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.64 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Team Heretics | 78c | 3,611$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Heretics | 46c | 3,538$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.5 | 1,213 | 39.6%480 W · 733 L | -44.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Shifters | 46c | 3,531$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.68 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…46e1backed Team Heretics | 38c | 3,333$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.41 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Team Heretics | 55c | 3,028$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.15 | 383 | 44.4%170 W · 213 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Shifters | 54c | 2,969$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.83 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Shifters | 51c | 2,962$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.38 | 1,089 | 47.3%515 W · 574 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Shifters | 52c | 2,861$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.44 | 1,613 | 53.8%868 W · 745 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Team Heretics | 38c | 2,826$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.34 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed Shifters | 46c | 2,739$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.14 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Shifters | 52c | 2,722$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.89 | 1,236 | 48.5%600 W · 636 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Team Heretics | 44c | 2,670$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.87 | 194 | 43.8%85 W · 109 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Shifters | 48c | 2,546$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.71 | 991 | 49.1%487 W · 504 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Shifters | 59c | 2,532$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 1,013 | 56.9%576 W · 437 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Shifters | 61c | 2,517$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.69 | 713 | 62.1%443 W · 270 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Shifters | 52c | 2,505$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.3 | 1,102 | 53.8%593 W · 509 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Shifters | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 559 | 55.5%310 W · 249 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked Team Heretics | 37c | 2,500$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.33 | 360 | 47.8%172 W · 188 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Shifters | 58c | 2,470$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.46 | 373 | 58.7%219 W · 154 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Heretics | 52c | 2,433$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Team Heretics | 54c | 2,383$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.66 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Shifters | 44c | 2,368$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.21 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Heretics | 52c | 2,184$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.66 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Heretics | 40c | 2,139$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.02 | 1,079 | 55%593 W · 486 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Shifters | 56c | 2,111$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Team Heretics | 48c | 2,103$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Heretics | 51c | 2,101$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.65 | 1,353 | 38.6%522 W · 831 L | -68.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…eab0backed Shifters | 44c | 2,100$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.83 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Heretics | 44c | 2,079$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.18 | 904 | 42.9%388 W · 516 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Shifters | 63c | 2,069$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.82 | 1,609 | 55.4%892 W · 717 L | +84.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Team Heretics | 25c | 2,006$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 511 | 45.2%231 W · 280 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed Shifters | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Shifters | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 626 | 45.8%287 W · 339 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Team Heretics | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…b109backed Team Heretics | 56c | 1,929$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked Shifters | 51c | 1,880$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.17 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Heretics | 43c | 1,873$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.47 | 328 | 45.4%149 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Shifters | 47c | 1,869$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.96 | 1,485 | 61.3%910 W · 575 L | -21.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Team Heretics | 44c | 1,809$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.22 | 1,042 | 47.7%497 W · 545 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Shifters | 28c | 1,799$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.29 | 1,696 | 59.5%1,009 W · 687 L | +101.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Shifters | 50c | 1,792$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 1,324 | 55.7%738 W · 586 L | +43.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Shifters | 46c | 1,765$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.1 | 657 | 51.6%339 W · 318 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Shifters | 45c | 1,689$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.89 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Team Heretics | 51c | 1,665$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Heretics | 50c | 1,599$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.03 | 875 | 42.7%374 W · 501 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Heretics | 41c | 1,545$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.58 | 1,489 | 38.4%572 W · 917 L | -44.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Heretics | 46c | 1,538$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.09 | 1,832 | 39.2%718 W · 1,114 L | -30.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Team Heretics | 51c | 1,525$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.92 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Shifters | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Heretics | 47c | 1,414$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.28 | 2,088 | 30.6%639 W · 1,449 L | -176.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Shifters | 76c | 1,318$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.47 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Heretics | 41c | 1,318$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.83 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Team Heretics | 47c | 1,314$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.13 | 103 | 62.1%64 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Team Heretics | 24c | 1,300$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.33 | 1,299 | 42.6%553 W · 746 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Shifters | 52c | 1,292$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.39 | 1,239 | 54.5%675 W · 564 L | +51.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…69e5backed Team Heretics | 21c | 1,254$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.43 | 165 | 23.6%39 W · 126 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c817backed Shifters | 75c | 1,209$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.32 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Team Heretics | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 589 | 3.6%21 W · 568 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +176%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Shifters | 40c | 1,200$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.3 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Heretics | 50c | 1,190$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.9 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Heretics | 26c | 1,124$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.24 | 1,076 | 28.4%306 W · 770 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…16abbacked Shifters | 46c | 1,026$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.04 | 146 | 56.8%83 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Team Heretics | 3c | 999.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 727 | 15.1%110 W · 617 L | -32.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed Team Heretics | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Heretics | 35c | 941.29$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.38 | 1,383 | 47.4%655 W · 728 L | -35.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Team Heretics | 47c | 925.37$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.62 | 680 | 43.1%293 W · 387 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Heretics | 4c | 900$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,530 | 3.3%50 W · 1,480 L | -54.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonShifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerShifters won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.