CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e2d6441490a23bd61de25cf92d752484d509f14b4dd69fbcc3df1deba070838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed Over | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 54c | 14,915$8,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860.7 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 41c | 4,231$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.19 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 2,314$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.23 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 46c | 1,738$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.51 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 53c | 967.35$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.7 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 54c | 855.65$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Over | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 53c | 492.35$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.4 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 25c | 452.79$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.84 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 46c | 374.34$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d78bbacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Under | 30c | 239.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed Under | 46c | 231.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.81 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x525d…1f1bbacked Over | 25c | 219.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…5d8bbacked Over | 48c | 217.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Under | 72c | 204.83$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Under | 47c | 202.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…b1a1backed Over | 43c | 194.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 28c | 190.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…a066backed Over | 54c | 187.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Under | 47c | 164.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 55c | 133.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed Over | 14c | 113.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked Over | 59c | 99.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…1608backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 54c | 81.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed Under | 47c | 78.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 47c | 65.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked Under | 74c | 64.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…40a3backed Over | 58c | 62.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Over | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Under | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…2ae1backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 53c | 49.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 47c | 45.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 47c | 45.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 47c | 45.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 47c | 45.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 47c | 45.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 47c | 45.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 47c | 45.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 47c | 45.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 47c | 45.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 47c | 45.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 31c | 43.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 41.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 37.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 67c | 33.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 43c | 30.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 50c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…e2e8backed Under | 50c | 29.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Over | 44c | 25.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Over | 47c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 55c | 24.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…32b5backed Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8693…ebd0backed Under | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Under | 54c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.