Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mariia Masiianskaia vs Maria Herazo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x627b805c837374d2841c678bbf7c4a0d4cae1ac7f7fdda8f9ae8efe3e323f6ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Herazoof Mariia Masiianskaia, Maria Herazo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 38c | 23,157$8,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,815.91 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Herazo | 62c | 7,994$4,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed Maria Herazo | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 52c | 2,398$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.09 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Mariia Masiianskaia | 55c | 1,368$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.47 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Herazo | 61c | 1,246$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.86 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 22c | 684.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maria Herazo | 45c | 599.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Maria Herazo | 49c | 387.87$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.11 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Maria Herazo | 70c | 335.93$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Maria Herazo | 40c | 318.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | +15.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Herazo | 65c | 238.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 57c | 140.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 26c | 114.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…268dbacked Maria Herazo | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Maria Herazo | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Mariia Masiianskaia | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Maria Herazo | 45c | 90.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Mariia Masiianskaia | 37c | 80.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…6019backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 24c | 73.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maria Herazo | 42c | 64.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mariia Masiianskaia | 54c | 58.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Mariia Masiianskaia | 53c | 57.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Herazo | 69c | 54.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Maria Herazo | 45c | 53.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…8ccebacked Maria Herazo | 48c | 45.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Mariia Masiianskaia | 27c | 44.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Maria Herazo | 66c | 34.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Maria Herazo | 45c | 29.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…9155backed Maria Herazo | 78c | 29.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Mariia Masiianskaia | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Maria Herazo | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maria Herazo | 52c | 22.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.