CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f03a939279980efcda716c65921c528f1ffee417497f2f51256ddf599a1fbe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 9,832$6,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260.46 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Astralis | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Astralis | 65c | 3,805$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.87 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 34c | 3,502$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.32 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed FUT Esports | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis | 61c | 1,423$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.32 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis | 33c | 1,315$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.79 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FUT Esports | 32c | 1,314$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.64 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…2cd1backed FUT Esports | 39c | 741.08$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.06 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports | 37c | 499.97$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.98 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed FUT Esports | 73c | 336.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Astralis | 60c | 270.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed FUT Esports | 40c | 255.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.28 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked FUT Esports | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Astralis | 58c | 239.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed FUT Esports | 42c | 230.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Astralis | 24c | 225.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis | 62c | 219.19$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 63c | 205.88$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed FUT Esports | 61c | 199.88$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…cc16backed FUT Esports | 37c | 192.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 138.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FUT Esports | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed FUT Esports | 39c | 115.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Astralis | 33c | 109.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Astralis | 33c | 98.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked FUT Esports | 38c | 98.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed FUT Esports | 67c | 71.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed FUT Esports | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked FUT Esports | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…f5a2backed Astralis | 41c | 57.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FUT Esports | 59c | 52.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed FUT Esports | 59c | 52.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed FUT Esports | 38c | 46.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed FUT Esports | 36c | 44.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed FUT Esports | 38c | 37.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…fd9cbacked FUT Esports | 39c | 36.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 206 | 56.8%117 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…21c4backed Astralis | 63c | 36.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…6607backed FUT Esports | 42c | 34.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked FUT Esports | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…9ea6backed FUT Esports | 65c | 32.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb972…f81cbacked Astralis | 64c | 30.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Astralis | 35c | 30.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed FUT Esports | 38c | 30.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Astralis | 42c | 28.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Astralis | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Astralis | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…f00dbacked FUT Esports | 68c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Astralis | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…1976backed Astralis | 63c | 16.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.